PRO DraftKings Week 3 Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 3 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open Week 3 NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the organic fantasy production occurring in Week 3.

Always remember, we talk about organic production at RosterWatch because touchdowns, while necessary to any player’s fantasy success, are unpredictable. By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings pricing as a tool in gauging the value of players while setting our DraftKings lineups.

PLEASE NOTE:

– These are not RW’s Week 3 Rankings. Those can be found on the rankings page.
– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers put them up through Saturday evenings.
– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.
– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. The Week 3 Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here.
– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with projections based 2015 season-average receptions per-game and Week 1 and 2 numbers from 2016.
– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

17 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By SkolVikes

    Im in a 12 team PPR, I have Rivers, Luck and Brady. 3 Quarterbacks not ideal, but they all went cheap in our Auction. Paid less for all three than Rogers or Cam. Who should I look to unload?

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      Do you have to make a decision right now? I’m tempted to say Rivers, but it might be worth seeing how Luck does without Moncrief this week.

  2. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

    I’d wait to see whoever goes big this weekend out of Rivers and Luck and sell one of em high.

  3. ↓ Post By SkolVikes

    Sorry One more question. 12 team PPR. I have RB’s Charles, Foster, Rawls, Henry, Asiata. I could use another receiver and Crowder is available. I only have WR Hopkins, Maclin, Gordon. Should I drop a RB or wait to trade one of my QB’s

  4. ↓ Post By Dvjhnstn

    TE question in PPR – have Walker gimpy and maybe not playing. Barnidge was my backup, but given the situation… Can pick up J. James or T. Burton. Rankings are close with Barn and James…matchup tool says Barn….thoughts?

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      I don’t want to touch any Browns this weekend outside of Crowell.

  5. ↓ Post By rw-sasJoh8Vs

    Why no later games? Afternoon games to be loaded later???

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      If they come available before the show, they’ll be loaded as stated in the post. Otherwise, we just get as many in as we can.

  6. ↓ Post By rw-m5ivt1oOw

    in a 1/2 ppr 10 team league — need #2 RB — #1 is Forte — choice for #2 is C Michael (Rawls D), E Lacy or C Sims.
    my three WRs/flex are set at Jones, robinson and evans.
    many thanks

  7. ↓ Post By thomefan251

    pick 3, doctson perriman boyd and beasley? 12 team ppr thanks guys

  8. ↓ Post By Sushi

    RW,

    Someone dropped Doug Martin in my 14-team league. How much FAAB would you suggest I put in?

    I plan on dropping Jordan Howard for him. However I also have Kwhite, Doctson, Sammy Watkins and Josh Gordon on the bench. Shall I change it to one of these players to keep JHoward?

    Thanks!

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      50-60% and it’s close, but Doctson.

  9. ↓ Post By Synister

    Need to drop a RB to pick up a kicker this weekend. Choices are Dwayne Washington and Arian Foster. I’m leaning towards dropping Foster; don’t have any faith he can stay on the field this year. Am I crazy? I punted on RB’s and rolled with DWill the first few weeks here as my RB2. Hoping to find lighting in a bottle somewhere. Other RBs on bench are currently Langford and Derrick Henry.

  10. ↓ Post By renourka

    10 Team Standard

    [1] QB: Carr
    [2] WR: Jeffery, Benjamin (D. Jackson, Gordon, Lockette, Wallace)
    [2] RB: McCoy, M. Gordon (Bell, Henry)
    [1] TE: Tamme
    [1] W/R/T: D. Jackson

    Alshon’s got me nervous! Start Maclin over him and drop which of Lockett or Wallace for Ware and start Ware at FLEX?

    1. ↓ Post By renourka

      Oops typo! Right now I have Maclin in the FLEX, not D. Jackson!

      1. ↓ Post By renourka

        0 Team Standard

        [1] QB: Carr
        [2] WR: Jeffery, Benjamin (D. Jackson, Gordon, Lockette, Wallace)
        [2] RB: McCoy, M. Gordon (Bell, Henry)
        [1] TE: Tamme
        [1] W/R/T: Maclin

        Alright so I ended up dropping Lockette for Ware so the question is do start Maclin over Jeffery and play Ware at the FLEX or leave the lineup as is? Or maybe just start Ware over Maclin and leave Jeffery in? Thanks in advance ROSTERWATCH!

  11. ↓ Post By renourka

    12 Team Standard

    [1] QB: Bortles
    [2] WR: Hopkins, K. Benjamin (Watkins)
    [2] RB: Miller, T. Coleman (Rawls, Henry)
    [1] TE: Rudolph (D. Walker, Eifert)
    [1] W/R/T: D. Jackson

    Leave Delanie Walker benched or start him over Rudolph IF he’s active anyway?

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