PRO RosterWatch End Zone Targets Report: Week 10

alex bylineHere you can find a new tool we’ve added for the 2017 season. Each week, we will maniacally go through the All-22 tape on NFL Game Pass and chronicle every time a player is targeted in the end zone. Red-Zone targets are a nice statistic, but are not as telling as being targeted in the actual end zone which is clearly a much higher expected-value event. We could not find this statistic available publicly anywhere else, so our solution was to do it for ourselves and for RosterWatch Nation. We hope the database, which will be updated on Thursdays weekly through Week 15, is one you find useful in making your critical sit/start decisions or in projecting player performance moving forward while gauging value for trades.

Click here to access the updated shared spreadsheet

66 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By rw-Dd6bhaAT6

    Hi RW, loving your work this year as always. Two questions:
    1) With Cooper and Hill on bye I am rolling my whole WR bench this week of JuJu, Davis and Kupp. Woods is available on the wire. Are you guys rolling Woods or Kupp ROS?
    2) Would you drop CJ Anderson for Drake or roll CJ one more week and see what he can do against Pats useless run D?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Would have to say Woods. Love that bench! A total RW bench.

      Yes- for Drake.

  2. ↓ Post By Chris Smith

    I have Dez and and all other Cowboy WR’s are currently on waivers. Who am I picking up just in case?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Butler. Dez says he is playing.

  3. ↓ Post By Show Me Your TDs

    Hey guys question in a 16 teams standard

    Current QB is Dalton
    WRs are AB, Julio, Keenan, C Davis and Alshon
    Thoughts on trading Alshon for Wentz and using him ROS
    WW only has savage kizer and Brock

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      Don’t trade straight up for a QB. Try to make a move for another position then get a QB as part of the package.

  4. ↓ Post By Undertakers

    Fitz, Alfred Morris for flex 1pt ppr

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      Larry on the fact that he is the superior talent. There’s no telling how the Cowboy’s backfield is going to shake out.

  5. ↓ Post By Trace17

    I’m going on the rankings right now and I need 3 out of these 4 smelly receivers this week. Rankings suggest I start the first three so would you change them? Should I pick-up T. Williams, T. Lockett, or M. Bryant?

    K. Allen, S. Watkins, J. Kearse, D. Adams

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      I like Allen, Watkins, and Kearse over those other 4.

      1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

        I think I do too. I want to see a prop for Adams, though, so let’s see what it looks like on the Vegas Tool

  6. ↓ Post By Marianna1157

    1/2 pt. ppr & I need 2 WR…L. Fitzgerald, K. Allen, K. Benjamin, P. Richardson, or Terrance Williams?

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      Fitz and Kelvin

      1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

        Kelvin’s likely going to get Marshon Lattimore, let’s get in Fitz and see how that goes and see what the DFS analystics and props say about the others once that stuff is spit out tomorrow.

  7. ↓ Post By Dsummitt15@sbcglobal.net

    BYRON ALEX or TRASHMAN
    12 team Standard scoring League
    QB: Russell Wilson
    WR: Mike Evans, Micheal Thomas, Doug Baldwin, Keenan Allen, Corey Davis, Josh doctson
    RB: Doug Martin, Alvin Kamara, Thomas Rawls, Danny woodhead
    TE: Travis Kelce

    I just traded Doug Martin and Micheal Thomas for Shady Mac. He wasn’t going to accept Doug and Keenan Allen guys in my league are smart. I am getting roasted in my fantasy league group chat lol. Did I give too much for shady? Between Rawls Keenan and Corey Davis ( Hopefully heating up) I think I’ll be able to figure out my flex every week and Shady’s playoff schedule is insanely easy. Was this a good trade for me? Also picked up tolbert off waivers as the cuff

    2. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      We’ll find out in due time if it was a good trade. Best we can do is make most informed decisions with info we have at hand.

      You should know if you’ve been a member of RWNation for any length of time, we zig when they zag. So your leaguemates donkey laughter is a sign this worked perfectly- just like when yahoo gives us a D on our draft grade.

      If you think like everyone else, you’ll end up like every one else. You have sick WR still, and Shady with that schedule was well worth gamble. We’ll see how it shakes out. Yeah grab Tolbert since you are thin at RB.

      1. ↓ Post By eyak29

        This type of cockamamie thinking is exactly why you guys are the best!

      2. ↓ Post By Dsummitt15@sbcglobal.net

        “We Zig when they Zag” I love it. I made it a point to get Shady after listening to the tradecast and actually seeing his playoff schedule. Couldn’t get him as cheap as I wanted but having Shady>Doug for the home stretch is gonna be nice. And I agree Thomas was expendable because I’m so deep at WR. Thanks Byron!

  8. ↓ Post By paulbwaiter@gmail.com

    Pick 3. WR Standard. Tate, fitz, Parker, sanu.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Check the rankings!

    2. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Tate Sanu then flip a coin between Parker and Fitz. May lean Fitz but have a sneaky feeling about Parker this week. GL

    3. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      Tate, Fitz, and Parker

  9. ↓ Post By ea4582

    Pick one qb- standard scoring 6pts/td -2/int
    McCown Tygod or Mariota
    Rawls or Abdullah?

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      All 3 QBs are together on the rankings, but I’d go McCown with the juicy Tampa matchup.

      As for RB, Abdullah is getting a lot of opportunities and will be playing the Browns. Rawls wasn’t even good enough to beat out Lacy for the job last week.

      1. ↓ Post By eyak29

        I totally agree.

  10. ↓ Post By Marianna1157

    1 point PPR… which three:
    APeterson, Aaron Jones, Ty Mont, Derrick Henry, Demarco Murray, or Lamar Miller!??

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      Peterson, Murray, and Miller. There’s no telling how many chances the other 3 will get to even touch the ball.

  11. ↓ Post By ea4582

    If your names not Byron or Alex please do not answer my questions…

  12. ↓ Post By ea4582

    No disrespect Whodat but FYI- the browns are not that bad against the run. Ranked 6th best vs the run

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      When a team is 0-8 I’m taking my chances.

      1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        You guys be nice!

        I’d use the QB rankings for your QB- I like JM and TT

        As for AA- you can use the Jerick McKinnon logic that applied vs CLE from 2 wks ago- and say he’s the kind of back that could be effective. However, that could also be Theo Riddick. The game script should also favor DET RB.

        This is very close, I’ve hated AA on the season but who the hell knows with Rawls. The safe play is AA. If you’re a gambling man, it’s close enough that TR is just fine if that’s what you’re feeling.

        1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

          In summary -I’d prob play AA. TR is more of an unknown, very boom./ bust. Although, I do think his ceiling is higher. Don’t forget, we think Prosise is sneaky this week too

          1. Post By Byron Lambert

            Actually, fuck that- I went back and looked at my notes on AA and more of our inputs. He had a critical fumble last week that might fuck him this week. Go with Rawls!

  13. ↓ Post By ea4582

    Lmfao! Love the take! This is why I stay with you guys. You won me a ship two years ago, My loyalty is maniacal

    The other problem is I have J graham At TE and Baldwin playing too! Double fuck, right?

    My options
    Rbs- AA TR Drake Booker (pick one)
    Wrs- M Thomas Cooks Baldwin (pick 2)
    Flex- pick another wr/rb from above

  14. ↓ Post By kdhrris1@memphis.edu

    Need Two WRs
    Keneen Allen
    Rishard MAtthews
    Emmanual Sanders

    Flex Question:
    Chris Thompson or Mixon

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      Allen and Matthews. Can’t trust Brock to actually get the ball to Sanders. For your flex, Thompson if PPR and Mixon if standard, but I have more confidence in Thompson’s role in that offense.

  15. ↓ Post By mikey2430@yahoo.com

    PPR, Trade offer

    I give up Melvin Gordon and Mike Thomas for LeSean McCoy and AJ Green. Other RB’s are Hunt, Jones, and Montgomery. Other WR’s are Baldwin, Hill, and Corey Davis.

    Team is currently 5-4.

    Yes or no?

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      That is so close I feel it may be trying to get a little too cute.

      1. ↓ Post By mikey2430@yahoo.com

        I like the McCoy side, very favorable schedule. AJ is so up and down and that scares me. Thomas has the floor, AJ has the ceiling.

      2. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        Im with WhoDat on this one.

        1. ↓ Post By mikey2430@yahoo.com

          Thanks Byron and WhoDat for the responses.

          Appreciate your thoughts!

  16. ↓ Post By sally_espejo@sbcglobal.net

    Hey guys, PPR league. Big Ben or Goff?

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      Ride the hot hand with Goff. Ben hasn’t even hit 20 points this season. I can also see Leveon just running it down Indy’s throat.

    2. ↓ Post By woo.jonathanwoo

      +1 for Goff.

      Game script for PIT vs IND suggests lots of LeVeon Bell late game.

      1. ↓ Post By eyak29

        I fear that the game will be so out of hand that James Conner mops up the garbage time. Now that I actually read the question I totally go Goff over Ben.

  17. ↓ Post By rw-uCL6yuoYS

    PPR and I need to start two of the following: Hurns, Corey Davis, Terrance Williams, Marquise Goodwin. Which two? Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By woo.jonathanwoo

      I’d lean Williams and Goodwin. Wouldn’t fault you for giving CD a fair look.

    2. ↓ Post By eyak29

      If no Dez I would go Goodwin and Williams. If Dez plays I go Davis and Goodwin. I think Davis proves himself as a top 5 draft pick this week even though the matchup isnt the best vs Cinci

  18. ↓ Post By Bruce T

    Hey all. Ppr league should I trade my M Evans for J Howard. I have d hop K. Allen Crabtree and d Parker. I could use rb help tho. Thanks in advance

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      It’s not necessarily a bad deal, but you should be able to get more for Evans. Try exploring some other options before you pull the trigger on this one.

      1. ↓ Post By eyak29

        Agreed. You should able to get more for Evans. If not you should not sell him.

  19. ↓ Post By nicosuarez004@gmail.com

    Since listening to the trade cast ive been trying hard to get mccoy, but his owner is being (reasonably) stingy. Would you guys give up Michael Thomas and Lynch for him in a standard league. I have Tate, Marvin Jones, and Funchess as well.

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      Yes. There just isn’t any touchdown upside with Thomas this year and that severely caps his ceiling in standard. Coleman is going to continue to be the Saints go-to receiver in the endzone. I also like trading Lynch this week on his bye, and I just don’t trust him despite his game last week. This is a great consolidation of talent.

      1. ↓ Post By NicoSuarez

        Appreciate the response! Hopefully I can make it happen

        1. ↓ Post By NicoSuarez

          Update: he bailed last minute. Rip

          1. Post By WhoDat

            That’s unfortunate.

  20. ↓ Post By larrymac

    Lone Wolf 5-4

    need help with my trashy RB’s in a standard scoring league

    need 2 of these 6 trashy RB’s

    Demarco
    Abdullah
    CJ Anderson
    Booker
    Dion Lewis
    Rob Kelly

    i know it is bad, but what is the best 2 of the bunch?

    thanks for the help

    Larry

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      Demarco and Lewis will have the most opportunity, but I think Abdullah might surprise us this week.

      1. ↓ Post By larrymac

        thanks i will go demarco and abdullah and pray to my trashman god!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  21. ↓ Post By kdhrris1@memphis.edu

    PPR Rishard Matthews or Keenan Allen. Would you be scared to play Allen because of the Shut Down Matchup???

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      Matthews definitely. Jags are scary.

  22. ↓ Post By Marianna1157

    1/2 ppr…Should I accept this trade? I would acquire J. Howard and R. Anderson and I’d give away Fitz and P. Richardson. My RB are McCoy, CJ Anderson, L. Murray, Riddick, & Gallman. WR I’d be left with are K. Benjamin, K. Allen, C. Coleman, & Terrence Williams.

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      I really like how that strengthens you at RB and you’re strong enough at WR to take the downgrade from Fitz.

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