Dynasty Startup Draft Analysis Part Two
by Alan Seslowsky – Twitter: @Alanseslowsky
Below is part two of our summary and breakdown of the newly formed Superflex dynasty league. To read or watch part one first; click the link the located at the bottom of this article. The draft results, strategy analysis, and observations from this league are actionable takeaways to be harvested before you enter into a new dynasty startup this off-season.
Number of Teams: 12
PPR: Tiered RBs = .5 WRs = 1.0 TEs = 1.5
TE: 1.5 PPR & Mandatory Start Two
Starting Position Requirements: 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 2TE, 2 Flex, 1 Superflex 18 Bench
Draft Board Rounds 10-20
Key Draft Takeaways Rounds 10-20:
- On the clock choices: Rookie WRs vs post-peak veterans with resumes
- One injury away RBs widely available
- Value emerges at TE
- Starting QBs still available
- Previous year’s injury upside players fly off the board
SuperFlex Draft Strategy & Quotes:
Superflex drafters are getting sharper. The format has gained popularity and players understand securing quality QBs early is essential. Surprisingly there were a few starting QBs available in the double-digit rounds. Those players do come with serious risks. Players like Jimmy Garropolo, Cam Newton, and Teddy Bridgewater are a few of the names available in this range.
RosterWatch: What would you do differently in the next superflex startup?
Mike D: I may attack the QB position earlier. Drafting Ryan Fitzpatrick & Ben Roethlisberger as my QB2 and QB3 makes me feel insecure in a dynasty league. Both are very reasonable players in redraft. Since I did wait on QB I was able to bolster up my WRs and RBs.
Brandon Adam: Be more patient and trade back whenever possible. Value always falls in drafts this deep.
Shane Seeley: I would choose a draft slot closer to the middle rather than drafting on the end cap. Having a middle-round pick allows you to trade up and back easier since you never have to ask a trade partner to move back too far.
Rounds 10-20 Summary
Best Pick: Team Baron (RosterWatch Pro Member)
“Hollywood” Brown at 13.11
Hollywood was a player that rose up the ADP quickly last off-season. He disappointed relative to his 2020 draft cost. A sharp strategy in fantasy football is to identify players that disappointed most of the previous season but came on strong over the last six weeks of that season. Hollywood fits that description. In weeks 12-17 Brown finished as the WR13. He now will be relieved of the alpha duties and able to resume the role he is best suited for as a playmaker.
Riskiest Pick: Team Rehoboam (RosterWatch Pro Member)
Raheem Mostert, RB 49ers at 12.9
Mostert performed well last year when he was healthy. Now 29 years old, drafting him in a dynasty league represents a risky win now play. There is a point of the draft where Mostert makes sense for a team that didn’t focus on RB. In the late 12th round players like Jamaal Wiliams and Gus Edwards were still available. Both Williams and Edwards are slated for immediate rolls and are “one injury away” RBs that could have a top 15 weekly ranking. Both of those RBs are over four years younger. Mostert has game-breaking speed but is a risky pick at that ADP.
Value Pick: Shane Seeley (RosterWatch Pro Member)
Elijah Mitchell, RB 49ers 17.1
For the exact reason why Mostert is a “risky” pick, is why his backfield teammate Elijah Mitchell is a value pick. Eli Mitchell has a chance to be relevant for a few games. His draft cost is five rounds later than Mostert and he is only 23 years old.
Most dynasty startup drafts are conducted with a four to eight-hour timer. It gives fantasy managers time to think through strategy and make trades before they are forced to pick. Sometimes fantasy managers are guilty of overthinking the pick, other times making a pick too quickly.
RosterWatch: What draft pick did you immediately regret after you made it?
Alan Seslowsky: Hunter Henry at 9.12. I knew I would have to sacrifice value at WR and RB to eventually pick a TE. I’m not confident Hunter Henry will be reliable as a weekly fantasy starter. Though Logan Thomas is 29 years old, he will likely be a top 12 TE. I should have drafted him.
Brandon Adam: I drafted Stefon Diggs over Antonio Gibson. Diggs is obviously a great player, but the young RBs are impossible to acquire after the draft is over. You need to draft young RBs in a startup as soon as you can.
Shane Seeley: I didn’t feel great about drafting Dallas Goedert in the seventh round. There were alpha WRs still on the board. Names like Mike Evans, Kenny Golladay, and Keenan Allen. I felt the pressure to secure Goedert in a two TE format. He was the last player in the current tier.
To read and watch part one of the RosterWatch Superflex dynasty startup summary click the link below