RosterWatch Week 1 Matchup Tool
Alex Dunlap, Rosterwatch.com
It’s hard to believe that we’re back to that time of year again. Without further ado, here is your RosterWatch Week 1 matchup tool.
This is a tool to help you judge the weekly matchups your fantasy players face. Teams are ranked from 1-32 versus the RB, QB, WR and TE positions. A ranking of “1” is the most friendly to an opposing player, while the ranking of “32” is the worst.
When you use the tool, find the team that your player plays on, then look at the opponent’s matchup rating against the position in question.
We have highlighted the top 10 best positional matchups in BLUE.
Fringe-top tier matchups are highlighted in LIGHT BLUE.
Fringe-bottom tier matchups are highlighted in LIGHT RED.
The top 10 toughest matchups for opposing fantasy players are higlighted in RED.
Upon arriving at Week 5 of the NFL season, all of the data we use as inputs for this tool will come from the 2012 season. At this point in time, we will have a solid baseline from which to base projections completely moving forward.
Since we are not afforded the luxury of any 2012 action to look back on in Week 1, we have employed our system of weighted averages to construct the following hierarchy.
Matchup rankings take into account a number of variables, and are derived via a proprietary RosterWatch algorithm. One portion consists of six variables from 2011, while the rest is comprised of scouting/analysis grades of each defensive team’s 2012 starting positional group when taken as an average.
Meaning, for example, for TE matchups: We will look at 2011 fantasy points allowed per game by the team on average to fantasy TEs.
We then make adjustments for new personnel, and/or scheme. A grade in this case will be assigned to those who will generally cover the TE. (3-4 ILBs, 4-3 LBs, Safeties and Nickel Corners.) We call this variable the TECP or tight end coverage personnel variable. We then get an average for that group’s scores and use it as an input along with a small bit of credence given to preseason performance in snaps vs. No.1 offenses.
So, yes, our jobs get much easier with each passing week leading up to Week 5, but now is when you have to win. As always, feel free to hit us up with questions.
Here is your Week 1 RosterWatch Matchup Tool:
+RW Proprietary Algorithm
++Based On Standard Scoring