RWi RosterWatch Week 1 Matchup Tool

RosterWatch Week 1 Matchup Tool
Alex Dunlap, Rosterwatch.com

It’s hard to believe that we’re back to that time of year again. Without further ado, here is your RosterWatch Week 1 matchup tool.

This is a tool to help you judge the weekly matchups your fantasy players face. Teams are ranked from 1-32 versus the RB, QB, WR and TE positions. A ranking of “1” is the most friendly to an opposing player, while the ranking of “32” is the worst.

When you use the tool, find the team that your player plays on, then look at the opponent’s matchup rating against the position in question.

We have highlighted the top 10 best positional matchups in BLUE.
Fringe-top tier matchups are highlighted in LIGHT BLUE.
Fringe-bottom tier matchups are highlighted in LIGHT RED.
The top 10 toughest matchups for opposing fantasy players are higlighted in RED.

Method:
Upon arriving at Week 5 of the NFL season, all of the data we use as inputs for this tool will come from the 2012 season. At this point in time, we will have a solid baseline from which to base projections completely moving forward.

Since we are not afforded the luxury of any 2012 action to look back on in Week 1, we have employed our system of weighted averages to construct the following hierarchy.

Matchup rankings take into account a number of variables, and are derived via a proprietary RosterWatch algorithm. One portion consists of six variables from 2011, while the rest is comprised of scouting/analysis grades of each defensive team’s 2012 starting positional group when taken as an average.

Meaning, for example, for TE matchups: We will look at 2011 fantasy points allowed per game by the team on average to fantasy TEs.

We then make adjustments for new personnel, and/or scheme. A grade in this case will be assigned to those who will generally cover the TE. (3-4 ILBs, 4-3 LBs, Safeties and Nickel Corners.) We call this variable the TECP or tight end coverage personnel variable. We then get an average for that group’s scores and use it as an input along with a small bit of credence given to preseason performance in snaps vs. No.1 offenses.

So, yes, our jobs get much easier with each passing week leading up to Week 5, but now is when you have to win. As always, feel free to hit us up with questions.

Here is your Week 1 RosterWatch Matchup Tool:

+RW Proprietary Algorithm
++Based On Standard Scoring

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20 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By The Bandit

    So with a roster like this am I good to ?
    P. Rivers
    Steven Jackson
    Darren McFadden
    Dwayne Bowe
    Justin Blackmon
    Jacob Tamme
    Desean Jackson Flex

    I’ve got MJD, Mike Wallace, Davonne Bess and Kendall Wright warming my bench right now. Do I have the best combo going on?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron

      DeSean and Tamme have shaky matchups.We think Joe Haden will spend a lot of time on Jackson. MJD may have too good of a matchup for you to pass on. Min is #6 best matchup for fantasy RBs. Weird that you have both the Mike Wallace and MJD hold-out week 1 conundrum.

      I like Kendall Wright as much or more than Jackson. We spoke with a Patriots scout last night who thinks it could be a solid game for Wright. Then you have Mike Wallace, whom Champ Bailey held to 26 yards on 10 targets in last years playoff game but with the emergence of Antonio Brown who knows?

      In the end you probably need to go MJD over DeSean in your flex

  2. ↓ Post By Jacob

    I have a situation at TE as I though the position is stacked in the late rounds so took a coyple gambles
    Who would you start?

    Tamme, Olsen, or Celek?

    The rest of my lineup looks like:
    Big Ben
    Steven Jackson
    Darren Sproles
    Megatron
    Andre Johnson
    Desean Jackson

    Backups:
    Bess, McGahee

  3. ↓ Post By The Bandit

    Go with Tamme dude. After the way Peyton played last week, he targeted Tamme alot in the third and fourth quarters, and Tamme didn’t disappoint. Plus I have him too 🙂

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