RosterWatch Week 16 Matchup Tool

alex bylineWelcome back.

This is a proprietary weekly tool provided by RosterWatch for our PRO community. You can download it as always, or use the new, sortable and user-friendly online version.

It is designed to be a decision-making tool for gauging the defensive opponents your fantasy players face. If you are new to this, our time-tested and most popular flagship in-season tool, the instructions for use couldn’t be simpler, and can be found below.

RW PRO users can download the matchup tool (or access the online tool for use) in the downloads section of their profile by clicking HERE.

DO NOT RELY ON “FANTASY POINTS AGAINST” as your primary indicator for player matchups ever again. It is a flawed metric, as you’ll see, which will cause you heartache and struggle.

The rankings represented here are derived via a proprietary algorithm which takes into account not only standard “fantasy points against” metrics, but also (and most importantly) weighted averages and medians of separate individual player and defensive-unit scouting grades for members of the 2018 unit that will be run-stopping, pass-rushing, or covering against the position in question, along with other analytic trends including projected game-script, game-flow, Vegas indicators, volume of total snaps and much, much, more.

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INSTRUCTIONS:

To use the tool, think about your fantasy player.

Let’s say you own Browns RB Nick Chubb, and would like to see how he matches up against the defense he faces this week.

First, look down the list and find the Browns (Chubb’s team). You will see that the Browns’ opponent (OPP) is the Bengals in Week 16, and there are four color-coded cells in the horizontal columns marked “OPP vs. QBs,” “OPP vs. RBs,” “OPP vs. WRs” and “OPP vs. TEs.”

These are the OPPONENT’S (in this case the Bengals’) OFFICIAL ROSTERWATCH MATCHUP RANKINGS AGAINST THESE GIVEN POSITIONS.

AGAIN – They are not the rankings for the Browns, but rather, for the OPPONENT THEY FACE IN THIS GIVEN WEEK (the Bengals). In the “OPP vs. RBs” cell for the Browns, you’ll notice a big, blue ‘No. 1’. This means Chubb faces our best possible matchup for opposing RBs in Week 16 (the Bengals). This is a great indicator for owners of Chubb and is a positive one for those thinking of rostering him in DFS contests.

Repeat the same process for other players on your roster as you are trying to decide which players to start and which to sit in season-long leagues. Also use it to identify which upside-plays to roster in DFS contests based on matchup.

With the launch of the online tool, you can now sort by any column: vegas line, over/under, and matchup ranks vs. each position for easy reference.

“1″ is the best (easiest) matchup, “32″ is the worst (toughest).

COLOR-CODES
(you like blue matchups best)

BLUE: Best Matchups
LIGHT BLUE: Borderline Top Matchups
WHITE: Neutral Matchups
LIGHT RED: Borderline Bottom Matchups
RED: Worst Matchups

++RW Proprietary Algorithm

59 Comments

  1. CHAMPIONSHIP TIME. I’m ready to 3PEAT, but need your help

    QB: Cam, J.Allen, or B. Mayfield?

    RB (Need 1): Fournette, J. Williams, or K. Ballage?

    WR (.5 ppr, need 1): Golladay, K. Allen, D. Baldwin?

    Flex (.5 ppr, need 1): J. Williams, Ballage, Baldwin, or D. Hamilton?

  2. I am in the championship game in my league at work for the third straight year. Looking to win back to back championships. Been a pro subscriber since 2014. I just want say thank you for all the hard work you guys put in year round for us. It is much appreciated.

    1. Stories like this are why we do what we do! good luck my friend!

  3. Hey guys-

    Can you give us a list of guys to pick up for Dynasty/keeper leagues for next year. Last week of pickups in my league. Looking for hurt guys who should come back next year or maybe young guys that are low owned who might break out next year. Let me know so names you like. I already grabbed anthony Miller

    1. Might trade on the cheap for Royce Freeman and RoJo. Some deep stashes:

      Byron Pringle
      Darrel Williams
      Trey Quinn
      Chris Warren
      Ito Smith
      Texans Rookie TEs Akins + Thomas

      (Hope you didn’t miss Ballage, Samuels, and Hamilton)

  4. DST help I own Ravens and chargers. Titans and Dolphins are on the wire. Should I scoop and start one of them or roll with one I own. If so who?

    1. I’d drop BAL for Titans and make the decision over the wknd b/t Titans and Chargers

      1. Or drop somebody else if you’re worried you opponent could pick BAL up and play them against you

  5. I’m going to roll with my RBs in the flex ( CMC, chubb, and mixon) leaves me with two wr spots for juju tyreek hill and thielen. Who should I roll with?

    1. Please wait for big rankings update tomorrow around lunch

      1. No problem thanks for all your help this season!

  6. OMG, I need help: 5000 Dollar question, that is what we are playing for in our FF Final.

    Mahomes: in a LOUD, Rainy, Seattle setting against the Seahawks who are fighting for a playoff spot

    or

    Luck: at a home in a cushy dome against a Giants team that is out of it, (But the Colts are very much in it-its a must win game for the Colts.)

    1. No way I’m benching Mahomes w/ 5K on the line. That’s an awesome league!

  7. Standard: cook or Mack

    1. Please wait for big rankings update tomorrow around lunch

  8. Post By joballe31@yahoo.com

    Hey Guys my first year as a pro member made 1st championship now playing for big $$$. Thanks you guys for all you do.
    Last question of season Standard lg. D.Cook/C.Carson for my flex.

    1. Thank you for your support. Congratulations on your success. This is how we do it every year. Hope you stick around for the offseason coverage. If you don’t have a dynasty team you should consider one.

  9. I can’t believe im saying this, but Fantasy Pros is telling me I need to start Baker Mayfield over Jared Goff in the championship. Is this real life?!? What say ye?!?

    1. Please wait for big rankings update tomorrow around lunch

      1. Yessir

  10. Post By gr8one_22@hotmail.com

    Gotta say THANK YOU!!!! Won my championship this past week in one league, only 4 make playoffs so its a 2 week tourney. Other league I am in the ship this week. Used Cheat Sheet for both leagues and its been GREAT!

    Quick questions for this week though, 2 QB league Full PPR
    QB’s are Ryan, Watson or Trubisky. Right now I have Ryan and Watson in
    And for Flex I can use Conner, Carson, or Landry. Thinking Conner or Carson, kinda leaning Carson with matchup but Conner has gotten me here. Any help would be great!

    THANKS AGAIN for the help.

    1. Post By gr8one_22@hotmail.com

      Now that I look at Rankings, they actually have Carson over Lindsey, I have Lindsey as my RB2, so should I consider Lindsey as Flex now. RB 1 is Mixon

      1. Please wait for big rankings update tomorrow around lunch

    2. Thank you so much for your loyal support. Big congratulations on your success!

      Please wait for big rankings update tomorrow around lunch

      For now prob:

      Trubisky + Watson

      If Penny continues to be out- it has to be Carson

  11. Post By tclemen21@yahoo.com

    Quick question, and I know things may change to as we learn more information throughout the week. I am in the Yahoo league and I have Jaylin Samuels which means I can put him in at tight end. My only other option is Jimmy Graham so that one’s easy As I would imagine that Samuels might spell Connor a bit in the change of pace role.
    My question is, I am debating whether I put in James Connor coming off injury or do I play Chris Carson? My other two running back spots are occupied by CMC and chub.

    1. Think it’s Carson. Wouldn’t be bad to slide Samuels over to TE in a pinch!

  12. Post By Cysplash@gmail.com

    Hey guys, thanks for all the advice this year!
    Got a couple questions.
    Do you think that Samuel’s will be involved enough, even If conner plays, to warrant a TE spot? It’s either him, mcdonald, goddert, jarwin, lacosse. Yuck!
    Also, at flex, I need one between r.woods, l.miller, ballage, kelly, d.williams. (assuming best case scenario for all of them) 0.5 ppr.
    Thanks!

    1. I think you can still slide JS to TE and get some action! Don’t hate Vance if the matchup rating is good , haven’t looked yet. Obv very slimy feeling playin Lacosse this week in a championship- but actually don’t hate it in a crazy situation. Fortunately, I think you prob have better options.

      Wait for big rankings update tomorrow around lunch

  13. Post By sjpfitness@yahoo.com

    Championship Advice!
    1PPR

    Which defense would you stream? Cowboys or Titans?

    Which TE would you start? K. Rudolph or C. Brate?

    Besides Julio, I need WR2 (Doug Baldwin, Sutton or C. Samuels?

    Need to start 3 out of 5 (Zeke, Mixon, Mack, Lamar Miller, J Williams or D. Williams)

    Keeping Matty Ryan as my QB. Stuck with him all year.

    1. titans, brate, baldwin, sit d will, j will, and miller

  14. Post By Nord.Adam@gmail.com

    Need one WR- 1/2 PPR- Golladay; Robbie Anderson; Mike WIlliams; Josh Gordon

    1. Post By georgelambeth2222@gmail.com

      Probably not Josh

  15. Post By sally_espejo@sbcglobal.net

    Thanks for all the help guys. It started with the draft thru to the championship game. RW has helped all the way thru. Championship game is in a PPR league. My line up is:
    QB Mahomes
    RB CMC, Kamara
    WR Hilton, Diggs
    TE Njoku or Ian Thomas {matchup tool says Njoku}
    Flex Carson and one from Evans, Jeffrey, M. Williams, Bellage, Fournette or Connor.
    The rule of thumb says touches over targets but with Conner saying he’s not ready and the BS that Jax coach Marrone pulled last week, I really don’t know which way to go. Thanks for the help.

    1. njoku, and evans – he showed up against baltimore, so that’s a good sign

      1. Post By sally_espejo@sbcglobal.net

        Thanks Trashman and have a very Merry Christmas.

  16. Post By craig.shaughnessy@gmail.com

    Flex ? – PPR, put in Damien Williams, Spencer Ware, Ballage, Or Alshon Jeffrey

  17. Rivers or Mayfield? Rivers got me this far and i just picked up Baker because of his matchup. Leaning towards Rivers but Mayfields matchup is very tempting.

    1. I also have Cousins

  18. Post By Robert Braswell

    Thanks to you in 3 money leagues Playing for another championship after going 12-1 and the 3rd place game in another in the championship league I have only one transaction left already starting Luck, Mixon, Chubb, TY , Juju, either David Johnson or samuels in the flex with conner out my problem is kicker or TE…playing Rudolph and matt Bryant… but Meyers is available and lacosse or goedert but Ballage is available do I stick with what I have improving either te or kicker or grab ballage and start him over what I have in place ??

    Thanks for everything King of the North 12-1

    1. i think you stay put

  19. Post By zevo82@yahoo.com

    Happy holidays…standard league….tevin Coleman or Jamaal Williams…thanks

    1. likewise, williams

  20. Post By christopherdavidhui@gmail.com

    Playing for the title here and I need some advice, 1pt. ppr:

    If Keenan Allen plays, do I play him over Jarvis Landry?

    I also just picked up Chris Hogan in light of the Josh Gordon news. Is he viable? I currently start 3 WRs:

    Keenan Allen
    Odell Beckham
    TY Hilton

    Bench: Jarvis Landry, Robert Foster and Chris Hogan.

    Thanks!

    1. you’re going to have to play landry over beckham anyway

  21. 14 team league w/ 6 team playoff (3 weeks most points combined)… Last week and I’m up 50 points over 2nd place…

    1 Pt PPR
    If Gurley out need 1: J. Williams, D. Williams, K.Ballage or J. White

    Need 3 WR’s out of group
    M.Williams, DJ Moore, D.Westbrook, K.Stills, D.Thomas

    Thanks for all your help this year!

    1. williams, westbrook, stills, williams

  22. Post By georgelambeth2222@gmail.com

    TN: DaPoohBears
    Record: 12-3
    I’m in the Championship thanks to u guys!!!!! I’ll definitely, 100%, for sure, be a roster watch pro member next saeson. Thank u guys so much. Check this out….I’m down to a lot of backups, but so be it. I need two RBs and a Flex out of this group.
    Jaylen Samuels, Nick Chubb, Spencer Ware, John Kelley, Elijah McGuire, and Robbie Anderson. I’m not a fan of starting two Jets but I will if that’s best. Also, Goff or Dak this weekend…..thanks guys…..I couldn’t have done it without u.

    1. congrats on the championship run! chubb, samuels, mcguire, dak

  23. Post By georgelambeth2222@gmail.com

    Standard league

  24. BHB Commissioner, Team Name: Philly Special, Record: 10-4

    Tentative Roster: qb- wilson,
    wr’s- julio, thielen, juju
    rb’s- chubb, fournette
    te- everett
    flex- kelly (if gurley doesn’t go)

    Bench: Josh Adams, Dion Lewis, Trequan Smith

    If julio or juju doesn’t go, I planned on playing Trequan.
    If both don’t go who else would you put in: james washington, chris hogan (puking), gallup. those are about best options, unless there is some DEEP garbage grab type player you’d throw in. I am still comfortable in my matchup as opponent has:
    Mahomes, damien williams, gus bus edwards, kennan allen, robby anderson, deshawn hamilton, gronk, lockett.

    1. looks like anderson is the guy if no gurley. i’d go adams and lewis

  25. BHB Commissioner, Team Name: Deflated Balls: 8-5

    With Kennan Allen “q”, I have mike williams to sub in. Even if he plays im still considering benching him and playing Mike williams. Thoughts?

    Also I have Diggs as flex. would you keep him in as flex or maybe play him in allens spot and then play either of following at flex: Mike williams, Ballage, ware, dion lewis, damien williams?

    do you guys think joe mixon is gonna be bottled up all game with no green or boyd, and driskel at qb and browns looking for payback against hue jackson?

    1. it’s not a bad a idea, as Williams is good bet to score, but his floor is as low as they come. i’d play diggs in his spot and flex damien w. i think mixon is a safe play regardless

  26. Gus Edwards or Sony Michel in PPR?

  27. Post By joebru26@gmail.com

    Gurley, Jamal Williams, or Damien Williams — Need one??

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