Week 2 DFS Cheat Sheet (FanDuel) Now Available

Mike Band Heashot 750Week 2 DFS Cheat Sheet and Trends Tool: FanDuel
By Mike Band and the RosterWatch staff
Follow Mike Band on Twitter

The epic DFS Cheat Sheet for FanDuel is now available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise.*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEET

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

The Vegas Tool will be out before the main slate occurs.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the FanDuel Cheat Sheet.

23 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By cwink2121

    Some line ups from the generator include Diggidy and Thielen. Simple pivot to similar salary guys from the sheet if Bradford is ruled out?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Definitely. We would prob pivot on one of them anyways unless we were triple stacking tourney lineup.

  2. ↓ Post By Incognito

    Any reason to hold onto C.J Prosise? I can pick up any of the following — Buck Allen, Carson, Duke Johnson, Kamara, or a back up for my only QB D Carr — Bradford or Alex Smith

    I’m leaning towards Buck Allen — what do you think? Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      He should def be dropped for Buck

  3. ↓ Post By A_douglas13

    I have a few offers for DJ in ppr. I can do Doug Martin straight up or Keenan plus DJ for Evans. My other RB are Kamara t coleman, Ingram, perine. WR are Hopkins K Benjamin m Bryant Allen Golladay doctson.

    Either of those deals worth taking or should I keep shopping and see if I can get someone like Mixon or ty Montgomery instead

    1. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

      anything for DJ at this point would be a win. Evans would be great but a straight up trade for an rb that will be playing versus one out for the fantasy season is a win as well. Whatever deal you can make for DJ do it and sleep like a baby knowing hes not your problem any more!

      1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        Thanks a ton for jumping in Pop Rocks! You Rock!

  4. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

    Cooper Kupp or Tarik Cohen? 1 ppr. Thanks guys!

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Cohen

  5. ↓ Post By Stickman8

    PPR League i need 2 RB’s out of Devonta Freeman, Jay Ajayi, Kareem Hunt and Todd Gurley

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Wow- what a roster – I’d prob roll Devonta and Kareem.

  6. ↓ Post By dcrump1987

    Hey guys I have a question in a standard league. I need to know who to start for my 3rd receiver and my flex. Between gillisle, Henry, Robby Anderson, Wallace, Kupp, Cohen, and Brandon Marshall

  7. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

    Kupp is your WR3 and Cohen in the flex.

  8. ↓ Post By rw-5hiOVG6bX

    Are the cheat sheet or optimizer adjusted once the Vegas stats are compiled?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yes. However, it will likely only be the Cheat Sheets avail this weekend, as Hyper is still in Beta – and will be down on occasion for continuous improvements we are making to the technology.

      1. ↓ Post By rw-5hiOVG6bX

        Cool, thanks!

  9. ↓ Post By thetzel3@aol.com

    Need 3 1pt ppr A Brown, K Allen, Fitz or M Thomas

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      We bench Fitz, even though we like him this week. The other 3 are just too good.

      1. ↓ Post By thetzel3@aol.com

        Will do, just seemed so close. Wanted an experts opinion.

  10. ↓ Post By DP

    Would you sit D Murray for Buck Allen?? TD only league, non ppr

  11. ↓ Post By fakefootballfreaks@gmail.com

    Gotta play 4 WR’s Evans, Mike thomas, M. Bryant, Treek Hill, and C. Hogan. Who do I leave out?

    .5 PPR and long yardage and / or long yardage TD’s Get decent bonus points.

  12. ↓ Post By keith.haney6573@gmail.com

    I have a chance to pick up Paul Richardson SEA, or Jamison Crowder WAS, or Ted Ginn NO and could drop Jordon Matthews it is a standard dynasty league. Should I do it?

  13. ↓ Post By Joeyk22

    Hey you guys killed it in DFS this week thanks!

Leave a Reply