RosterWatch Week 8 THU-MON DFS Cheat Sheets (DraftKings, Fanduel) Now Available

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for Fanduel and DraftKings on the Week 8 Thursday-Monday slate are now available for download to RosterWatch PRO members. In addition to the cheat sheet. The traditional “Sunday only” sheets will be available late Friday. For those looking for exposure to the Thursday contests, we have you covered here.

HOW DO THE SHEETS WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEETS

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

The DraftKings Vegas Props Tool will be out late Saturday evening as always.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the Cheat Sheets.

19 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By The Great

    My god what a pleasant surprise this morning.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      ha- got your email Great – just very busy times. What you think about the idea of you becoming an honorary captain in the message boards- we provide you a custom Badge for your avatar.

      1. ↓ Post By The Great

        I would be honored and humbeled to be bestowed with this Great Badge. From this day forward I vow to reply to every question unanswered by the experts.

        I heard you call out to me last week on the airwaves… This Saturday night I will call you back. The Great finds himself with a tuff RB2 play this week L. Bell on the break.

  2. ↓ Post By dutt

    Need 1, M Lee, D Jackson, Crowder

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      meh- prob stick w/ Crowder

      1. ↓ Post By dutt

        Thanks love what you guy’s do

  3. ↓ Post By Silver Fang Big Wolf

    I have Melvin Gordon, Matt Forte, and DBooker. I can get AJ Green straight up for one of them likely. Who should I part ways with? My current WRs are OBJ, Cooks, Tyrell Williams, and Mike Floyd.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Prob Forte, maybe Booker (and feel like you have sold near the top of any conceivable mountain so that you don’t feel bad if he starts going big)

  4. ↓ Post By pattyboo

    Trading away D. Murray for Odell

    My we are Benjamin , jefferys , cooper and Tate
    Rb DJ , Charles / ware and booker

    Can only play 3 Er and 2 rb no flex

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Hate this idea. Go get DH- your WR are fine

  5. ↓ Post By AbnerLofton

    Demarco owner here… want to land Henry pre trade deadline

    What is the most you would offer?
    Cmike
    Ty Montgomery
    W Fuller
    Kelsie
    Quizz
    Edelman
    T Coleman
    Howard
    Ty Williams
    Gillislee
    Bibbs
    AP
    Rawls

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      it probably won’t take much. maybe gill if you don’t plan on playing him. bibbs if he’s a booker owner.

    2. ↓ Post By The Great

      I like that AP stash. He is on too many waiver wires out there. The guy is moving around the locker room without a hitch or limp. No knee brace, no wrap, no nothing.

  6. ↓ Post By cwink2121

    Who is the Pick up Dixon or Bibbs?

      1. ↓ Post By cwink2121

        3 weeks ago your advice was to drop Booker for Dixon (which didn’t work out that great) now you suggest moving Dixon for Bibbs? Isn’t the reason I was told to pick up Dixon is for the home stretch? I’m just trying to put some reasoning behind the back and forth.

        1. ↓ Post By The Great

          Advise is just advise my fellow rosterwatch nation member. You still got to play your own hunches and make your own decisions. No one is perfect or we would not even play this damn game we love some days and hate others.

          I personally would hold Dixon over adding Bibbs.

  7. ↓ Post By mjurgemeyer

    I’m trying to make sense out of the current RB mess. I had CJ, and unfortunately someone else was already holding onto Booker. My current RBs are Murray, Henry, Crowell, Asiata, Dixon and Ka’Deem Carey. As you can see I’m grasping at straws. Would you drop Carey for Bibbs?

  8. ↓ Post By The Great

    That RB situation doesn’t exactly look to shaky to me right now. Sure it is not ideal but it could be much worse. Hell you could start Murray and Henery each week and I think they will give you a combined 25+ points most weeks. M Not a bad floor. Crow has proven capable in good matchups. But this week I would start the Ass man on Monday night at RB2. Hell he is on the sheet this week and very likely to score!

    I would drop Carey for Bibbs. I think Howard is better and Langford is working his way back and clearly the coach likes to share the rock. God forbid Booker goes down and you have the only man standing in a run heavy offense.

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