Trashman’s Fantasy Fallout Going Into Week 13
I hope Thanksgiving provided some welcome respite, filling food and little to no heartburn from the ensuing football games. Here’s the fallout going into Week 13….
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Bears – 23 @ Lions – 16
- Mitchell Trubisky is not a sure thing for Week 13, meaning Chase Daniel may start in Week 13. Daniel wasn’t bad in Week 12, but he spent most of his time just trying to avoid turnovers, limiting the offense. I don’t know that he’s up to the task of exploiting even the Giants this week. The lowest common denominator between Trubisky and Daniel seems to be Taylor Gabriel, who’s had 7 catches in each of his last two games. Maybe he’s worth a PPR stab, but I’m not really interested in any Bear except for Tarik Cohen, who can bail Daniel out in a moment’s notice.
- LeGarrette Blount(20 tou, 103 yards, 2 TD) stepped in and stepped up for the lions on Thanksgiving – Matt Stafford sure as hell wasn’t going to. Kerryon Johnson could miss Week 13 as well, so Blount is a solid pick-up this week as the Lions face the Rams at home. They’ll try to keep the ball on the ground to keep the Rams off the field.
- Theo Riddick came away with 60 yards on 9 touches Thursday, which doesn’t seem that impressive, but it was 3rd on the team after Blount and Kenny Golladay. The Lions are going to have to use him in multiple facets of this week’s game if they’re to compete with the Rams on any level. Riddick is still unowned in half of leagues.
- Marvin Jones may give it a go in Week 13, but if he can’t, the Lions are going to need all the firepower they can muster against the Rams. Bruce Ellington(6 rec, 28 yards) who had 7 targets in Week 12, could be worth a look in deeper PPR formats.
Redskins – 23 @ Cowboys – 31
- Colt McCoy may have taken the Redskins out of the game, ultimately, but he also kept them in it. I still think he’s better for fantasy than Alex Smith – You could actually start more than 1 offensive player in Week 12 with him under center. He gets the Eagles this week, and they’re generally a lot easier to throw against than run on – Though the Giants would have you believe differently.
- Josh Doctson(66 yards) led the Redskins in targets with 10 on the day – Both stats were season highs. McCoy isn’t the best downfield thrower, but Doctson deserves consideration in most formats against the Eagles this week.
- The same can be said for Vernon Reed(2 rec, 73 yards, 1 TD) and Trey Quinn(5 rec, 26 yards, 1 TD), both of whom had respectable games on Thursday. Jordan Reed is just doing the things now that he could have been doing all season with a different QB.
- The Cowboys’ offense is still just Ezekiel Elliott and Amari Cooper, they’re just generating more offense. Michael Gallup did have 6 targets, if only for 19 yards. There’s a slight chance he could up his air yardage this week against the Saints – It’s probably his best bet to do so.
Falcons – 17 @ Saints – 31
- Calvin Ridley is a Saints killer(8 rec, 93 yards, 1 TD). Too bad the Falcons aren’t. I wouldn’t bet on him against Baltimore this week though. Their all running all the time approach is working in keeping offenses off the field.
- WR/TE hybrid Dan Arnold(44 yards, 1 TD) led the Saints in receiving yards and tied Michael Thomas for the lead in targets(6). Arnold benefitted from Tre’Quan Smith sitting out with a foot injury on Thanksgiving after a sort week. Smith is likely to be back this week, but Arnold may continue to serve a role against the Cowboys’ “bend but don’t break” secondary that gives up yardage.
49ers – 9 @ Buccaneers – 27
- It was Dante Pettis(4 rec, 77 yards, 1 TD), not Kendrick Bourne who had the big day receiving for the 49ers. It was remiss of me to overlook Pettis on Sunday. He’d been out with injury for awhile, but he’d gotten 6 targets in Week 11. He could be worth flexing in Week 13 if neither Marquise Goodwin nor Pierre Garcon are available.
- Jeff Wilson Jr.(8 tou, 41 yards) backed up Matt Breida in Alfred Morris‘ stead on Sunday. He had a healthy 4.7 YPC, but that still paled in comparison to Breida’s 7.6 YPC. He could approach double digit touches again this week if Morris can’t come back and/or the 49ers decide to lessen the workload of whoever their starting QB is.
- Adam Humphries has been Tampa’s 2nd best WR for 5 weeks, yet he’s still unowned in 70% of leagues. I hope that 70% doesn’t consist of any of RosterWatch Nation, cause I’ve been telling you to pick him up for weeks now.
- Peyton Barber has quietly put together a couple of decent games, but he’s not a great play versus Carolina this week. He only had a 4 pointer in standard leagues against them a month ago.
Browns – 35 @ Bengals – 20
- Antonio Callaway has topped 50 yards in 2 of his last 3 games and scored in 2 of his last 4. He seems to be doing more with less these days, as do many young players who get overwhelmed when they have too much on their plates. He has flex appeal against Houston this week.
- Jarvis Landry(3 rec, 30 yards) is not thriving under Baker Mayfield, who doesn’t seem to respect his pedigree. Or maybe it has something to do with the fact that this is one of the few times he’s been on a team with a strong running game and other receiving options. Either way, he’s just clinging onto WR3 status.
- C.J. Uzomah had 13 targets and still couldn’t do much with them. Even with A.J. Green out, he’s been a lackluster option. He’s had only one 50+ yard game this season and only 2 TD. I’m looking elsewhere for TE help this week whether Green plays or not.
- John Ross has scored in 4 of his last 5 games, but he’s only averaging 2 catches and about 35 yards over that span. I’m tempted to add him, but his TD dependency is too risky this time of year.
Giants – 22 @ Eagles – 25
- Rhett Ellison had 4 catches for 77 yards on Sunday in place of Evan Engram. Engram should return this week, but even if he doesn’t, Ellison is not a preferred play against the Bears.
- Sterling Shepard has been garbage since Week 8, averaging under 20 yards receiving in that time. With Saquon Barkley taking over rushing and receiving duties, the Giants don’t seem to need much outside of him and Odell Beckham.
- Josh Adams is only 55% owned and he carried the ball 22 times on Sunday for 84 yards and a TD. He needs to be owned in all formats.
- Golden had another dud(4 rec, 30 yards), but it’s not far sake of trying to get it to him as he had 8 targets – a tie for team lead. I still think he’s got worth in most leagues.
Jaguars – 21 @ Bills – 24
- The jaguars fired their OC and are benching Blake Bortles this week in an effort to stop the bleeding. Cody Kessler will come in under center and probably won’t be asked to do much more than hand the ball off to Leonard Fournette and Carlos Hyde, who had 10 carries this week for 33 yards.
- In his first game back from a 5 game absence, Josh Allen(13 car, 99 yards, 1 TD on the grund) made things easier for himself and implemented his feet to great effect. He should find plenty of running room against Miami this week.
- Fleet footed Robert Foster has put together 2 back to back monsters(105 yards and then 94 yards and a TD). The disconcerting part is that he’s done it all on only 5 catches. He’s an intriguing DFS play this week, but I can’t do more than monitor him in league long formats.
Patriots – 27 @ Jets – 13
- Brady got his Gronk back and all is well in Beantown. Gronk(3 rec, 56 yards, 1 TD) didn’t look like himself, but he’s still better than 90% of NFL TEs regardless. Fire him up against MInnesota.
- It’s the Sony Michel for New England right now. WIth Tom Brady struggling to some extent, the Pats put the onus on Michel, and it paid off. James White will stay involved ,but Michel is going to light up the fantasy playoffs.
- Josh McCown focused in on Jermaine Kearse(6 rec, 66 yards, 1 TD) in Week 12 with 12 looks on the day. Kearse had only put up more than 35 yards one other game this season, so there’s no big run to the waivers for me. The hope would be that McCown has developed a rapport with him over his two games starting this season.
- The Jets went away from the run early due to the game-script against the Pats, and it showed in the box score. They’ll probably run more against the Titans, but the Titans defend the run adequately. I’m not interested in any Jets runner this week.
Raiders – 17 @ Ravens – 34
- Marcell Ateman(3 rec, 16 yards) had 10 targets on the day, but Derek Carr made sure they were trash. The rookie looks like the go-to since Brandon LaFell peaced out, but Carr stinks, so he’s only a DFS dart throw.
- It wasn’t a fluke folks. Gus Edwards is the truth(23 car, 118 yards). He’s a must start while Lamar Jackson is under center and possibly even if Joe Flacco returns.
- Jackson still isn’t throwing the ball enough in quantity or quality to warrant starting any Ravens pass-catchers.
Seahawks – 30 @ Panthers – 27
- Doug Baldwin(5 rec, 39 yards) led in targets(7), but Tyler Lockett(107 yards, 1 TD) and David Moore(103 yards, 1 TD) are taking all the yards and TDs. No longer just a TD threat Moore needs to be added where you can put him.
- D.J. Moore is the obvious start of him and Curtis Samuel it seems. Moore had 9 looks to Samuel’s 2. Samuel only saved his day through a TD grab. Devin Funchess is likely to miss this week again though, so Samuel may yet be worth a flex against the Buccaneers.
Cardinals – 10 @ Chargers – 45
- Josh Rosen‘s attempts have been cut in half since Byron Leftwich became O.C. in Arizona. This is great for David Johnson owners, but it’s boom or bust for those who have Cardinal WRs. They face Green Bay this week, so perhaps his hand will be forced.
- Melvin Gordon has a MCL Sprain and could miss the rest of the regular season. Assuming Austin Ekeler is owned, you need to grab Justin Jackson ASAP. Jackson will split carries with Ekeler for the time being.
- Mike Williams(25 yards, 2 TD) lives and dies by the TD. The Chargers face the Steelers this week, and Gordon is out, so maybe they’ll lean into the pass more than usual. Williams owners will need to hope so.
Dolpins – 24 @ Colts – 27
- The Dolphins played small ball in Ryan Tannehill‘s first game back, keeping the ball on the ground for the most part and peppering in short passes here and there. This could just be what we get from Tannehill. In the past he had Landry to focus on so it looked like more than it was. With him spreading it around so much, Kenyan Drake looks like the main beneficiary here, as he can be used in the short passing game in addition to carrying the ball.
- Andrew Luck spread the ball around too, getting it to 9 different receivers, excluding himself. Eric Ebron came back to life in this one, scoring twice on 7 targets – 2nd on the team. With 5 TDs in his last 4 games, I like him more than most TEs, even with his low floor.
Steelers – 17 @ Steelers – 24
- Ryan Switzer(6 rec, 67 yards) came from seemingly nowhere to place 3rd in targets(8) behind JSS and Antonio Brown Sunday. Swizzer has been trending upwards lately, and maybe now he’ll break into PPR relevancy. We liked him a lot at the Senior Bowl 2 years ago.
Packers – 17 @ Vikings – 24
- Marques Valdes-Scantling’s floor is abysmally low, but he’s still the no.2 in Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers didn’t even clear 200 yards.