PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 11 DFS Values Based On Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 11 DFS research. It’s quickly become one of our most popular. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this second round of the playoffs.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings and FanDuel pricing as a tool in gauging the value of players while setting our DFS lineups.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our weekly leagues — and we suggest always checking the props even if you don’t have any DFS action this week.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them early. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column FOR DRAFTKINGS is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

36 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By rbrusuelas@consolidated.net

    Bettors staying away from LAC-BUF? No Gordon, Allen, Shady?

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      I’m all over Melvin after how the Saints ran all over them last week.

  2. ↓ Post By Austin Benedict

    Need a flex in a PPR. Clay, Amendola, Woodhead, Lynch, Doctson.

    Opponent started Walker on Thursday but I’d still say I’m the favorite.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Prob Lynch or maybe Doctson

  3. ↓ Post By AbnerLofton

    Sit one, standard scoring:

    M Thomas, D Baldwin, B Cooks, J Howard

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yikes. Cooks is a must start for me. I’m probably least comfort with Howard. Tough call between Thomas and Baldwin- both potentially tough CB matchups. I may trust Baldwin more.

      Prob-

      Cooks + Baldwin

  4. ↓ Post By WildBoars

    I have J. Goff in a 4 point per pass TD and 6 point run TD
    PRivers is available as a FA
    Is Rivers is better for the stretch through week 16 than Goff? This week?
    Do I pick up Rivers and own both for the play-offs?
    – I play 2 RB 3 WR and a Flex So who should I drop to do this?
    My team WR: THill, GTate, SShepard SDiggs ,JJSmith-Schu
    RB: CMcCaffrey, TColeman, DMartin, DFreeman, KDrake, EElliott

    I am 8-2 in 1st place thanks to you
    Thank you

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Would prob roster both and matchup play them the rest of the way. I like Rivers more this week and would try to find a way to play him.

      Sounds like you’d have to drop Zeke or Drake. Tough call, but do-able.

  5. ↓ Post By WildBoars

    Would I rather own G Olsen or A. Sef-Jenkins for the playoffs? Or both if I could

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Olsen

  6. ↓ Post By rw-o1WFDOpJs

    PPR Fournette replacement; Burkhead or Mckessic ? Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By The Great

      The Corvette will roll.

  7. ↓ Post By WildBoars

    Continuation of GOlson or A. Sef-Jenkins as TE for play-offs – above:
    In PPR I have A. Sef-Jenkins and Tyler Kroft (picked up to play this week) Should I drop A.Sef-Jenkins right now and pick up G.Olsen to have him on my roster I have no one else to drop
    then pick ASef-Jenk back up next week if available as a back up for ?

    1. ↓ Post By The Great

      Get Greg Olson

  8. ↓ Post By Robert Braswell

    hey need help already starting hunt at one rb need 1 in a 1 pt PPR D.martin,burkhead,or woodhead and at wr new 2 and a flex Evans,Thomas,Shepard,Hill or dede need 3..Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      Burkhead, Evans, and Hill because of matchups + talent.

      If D. Thomas, I go Shephard.

      If. M. Thomas roll with him.

  9. ↓ Post By Devil U Know

    Need a Flex in Standard scoring: Drake, Mixon, or Lynch?

    This is my first year in RosterWatch Nation and I’m riding the wave 3 leagues and 3 Sick 1st place teams!

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      Lynch has the best matchup, but the Raiders didn’t go to Mexico City until the last minute and that elevation change is going to destroy their endurance.

      Drake has done great the past couple weeks and the Bucs are looking awful. Go with him.

  10. ↓ Post By gr8one_22@hotmail.com

    Carr or Dak?

    Need a Flex, Diggs, Martin, Mixon, or Engram, already have Ertz starting as TE. Starting RB’s are Gurley and Ajayi

    1. ↓ Post By WhoDat

      Carr is the high ceiling play with the matchup and higher elevation in Mexico City. Just beware of the fact the Raiders didn’t travel until late and won’t be acclimated as well as the Patriots and that could have negative effects on their endurance.

      I prefer Diggs because of his upside despite the tough matchup vs. the Rams.

      Engram is a sneaky play, but I don’t like flexing TEs given their usage in general. Martin has a good matchup, but the Bucs are simply a mess; I think them losing their midseason bye to the hurricane in week 1 is really hitting them. Mixon’s matchup vs. Denver is unfavorable.

      1. ↓ Post By gr8one_22@hotmail.com

        I do have Diggs in right now and using TE as flex does make me nervous.

        I also have Carr starting because Dak without Zeke right now seems lost. Carr with Cooper and Crabtree seems better than a beat up Dez and Williams. I have trusted Martin and used him in past but can’t seem to bring myself to do it anymore.

  11. ↓ Post By WhoDat

    Is Forte or Woodhead better ROS 1PPR?

    1. ↓ Post By RockyCrab

      Woodhead I would say

    2. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Prob Woody

  12. ↓ Post By RockyCrab

    Crowder or Marquis Lee
    Clay or Hunter Henry PPR

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Up until today, I would have told you Lee. We just have better indicators coming in for Crowder, think he gets the edge. Like them both.

      I think Henry is sneaky this week.

  13. ↓ Post By chriskoerner25@gmail.com

    Standard scoring league. I’m planning to starting Hunt, Gurley, and Michael Thomas. Need 1 out of Tevin Coleman, Crabtree, or Sterling Shepherd? I caught the end of the show on XM Fantasy radio tonight. Great stuff as always!

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      Crabtree for me. Sanders Lit them up last week. I can see same for Crab. Safe play is Coleman.

  14. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

    Yikes, like em all. Prob Shepard if he goes.

  15. ↓ Post By Dan

    Down 26 as he had AB and i had Walker. Starting Brady, Gurley, Ingram, Thielen, Evans. WR3 do i go with Crowder, Kennan Allen, or Robert Woods? Thanks, just joined today and need some meniachal help!!!

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      I hate him but recommending Crowder for this week.

    2. ↓ Post By Dan

      1/4 point PPR and long TD bonuses

  16. ↓ Post By jbandfield

    Amish Rake Fight… 13-7…. Standard league. Should i bench Fournette preemptively in favor of Drake or Allen?

  17. ↓ Post By jshoemaker3280@gmail.com

    1-ppr?
    Darkwa
    Jamaal Williams
    Dion Lewis
    Morris
    Need one?

  18. ↓ Post By stephen

    PPR league 1 need a flex-devante parker, maclin, duke johnson, jamal williams, latavious murray

    PPR league 2- need a wr and a flex- devante parker, deandre hopkins, jamal williams, mckissick, mixon

  19. ↓ Post By Icemonkey77

    Are you still on Burkhead for DFS?

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