PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 12 NFL DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props (RB, WR, TE)

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 12 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.


– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)


  1. Roster management questions looking ahead to playoffs…
    Half ppr league
    D. Johnson, Mixon, Chubb, R. Freeman, R. Penny, G Bernard
    Hilton, Sanders, Ridley, Kirk, DJ Moore
    V McDonald
    Pats D
    Would you drop anyone to handcuff D Johnson w / Chase or stash other playoff DST?
    Broncos and Titans are available.

    10 team PPR league
    Hunt, Mixon, Chubb, A Jones, R Penny, G Bernard
    Hopkins, JuJu, Boyd, MVS, Miller, DJ Moore
    Doyle, Brate
    Bears D
    Would you drop anyone to handcuff Hunt w Ware?


  2. Post By

    Would you play Brate, Ebron, or Engram in a non-ppr league this week?

  3. Mixon or Fournette to pair up with Chubb in PPR? And PPR flex debate between Aaron Jones and Landry?? Thanks!

  4. PPR Dynasty –
    I need 3 of these 4 RB: David Johnson, Mack, Lindsey, and Gus Edwards. I’m already playing Sutton as a WR in this league if that matters. Need to maximize my points to make the playoffs.

    Also, go with Lambo for K, or pick up Gould or Bailey? I’m thinking the Jax game may have more FG attempts, but Minn is in a dome, and TB likely to be high score. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯


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