Week 12 Main Slate DFS Cheat Sheets (DraftKings, FanDuel) and Hyper DFS Lineup Generator Now Available
The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.
PRO members, click here to head over to the downloads section to use the sheets or give HyperDFS a spin.
NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!
*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****
HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?
THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.
THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.
Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.
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12 team PPR league (6-5):
2 RB, 2 WR, 1 FLEX
My team:
QB: Luck
WRs: AB, K. Allen, Gordon, MVS, A. Miller
RBs: Michel, Kerryon, G. Edwards, Collins, R. Freeman, Crowell
TE: Doyle, McDonald, Brate
Yikes, roster crunch here as I try to go 2-0 or 1-1 in this tight playoff race…
1) Who the hell do I drop for a Kicker?
2) Also Frank Gore and Doug Martin are available if you’d make any swaps for them as well?
3) Best RB2 to start out of all the options above?
3 tight ends?
1.crowell or one of your TEs. def don’t need 3, brate probably the most valuable. 2. i could drop crowell for either. edwards
Chubb or Mixon and Mayfield or Winston 1pt ppr
Chubb and Winston for me.
Should I pick up Winston and play him over r.. Wilson?
(Also have trubisky)
I would have to drop e. McGuire, Sutton, a. Miller, or v. McDonald.
My other te is Brate
My other wrs are Thielen and OBJ.
Thank you!
yes, you can drop mcdonald
Would you guys bench K. Allen this week in season long since he is matched up against patrick peterson? If so I would move edelman into the wr slot and sony michel from the bench to the flex. Thoughts?
no
Need 1, 1PPR E Sanders, P Lindsay, D Cook, J Richard, Josh Adams or Valdes-Scantling
sanders
When do the prop bets come out?
today
Jaguars or patriots D
Breida or Mack in standard
Thanks
jaguars, mack
If Melvin Gordon can’t go would you put in Arron jones or Sony Michael.
Thanks!
Full PPR
new pro member here can someone explain to me how to use the DFS
Get used to these guys not responding to your questions.
Check out the matchup page, and the Vegas props page and the rankings tab. I’ve found them to be pretty useful. And if you play DFS, make sure to check out their DK and FD cheat sheets. They don’t always answer questions but it’s still the best value out there.