PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 14 DraftKings Flex Values Based on Vegas NFL Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 14 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open Week 14 NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in Week 14.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings pricing as a tool in gauging the value of players while setting our DraftKings lineups.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making sit-start decisions in our season-long leagues.

PLEASE NOTE:

– These are not RW’s Week 14 Rankings. Those are updated through Sunday morning and can be found on the rankings page.

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers put them up through Saturday evenings. We put the tool up once we have at least 4 games or so of props in. Please check back through Saturday evening and Sunday morning leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them early. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. The Week 14 Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic roduction projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

12 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By SullyFromHouston

    Hell yes !! Hope you guys are back on air next week.

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      yes we are back on next week – Trashman had was touring and Byron on a wooly south Texas hunt so we had this weekend marked off the calendar since the beginning of the season. If I would have realized it was Week 14 I would have just offered to do it solo.

  2. ↓ Post By renourka

    Is there a prop for Riddick? Trying to decide between Riddick and Ty Williams for a FLEX spot in a PPR playoff matchup! Also 8 bonus points for either 110 rushing yards and/or 115 receiving yards if that sways your answer.

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Haven’t seen a prop for Riddick yet, I’d go with Tyrell personally. Good luck.

  3. ↓ Post By renourka

    One more tough PPR FLEX question for my other league where it’s the first week of a two week playoff matchup:

    Crowder @PHI
    Gurley vs. ATL
    Diggs @JAX
    Mitchell vs. BAL

    Trashman’s ranks say Gurley while the matchup tool also likes Gurley with the 3rd best matchup but Crowder has the #1 matchup for WRs. Matchup tool shows tough WR matchups for Mitchell and Diggs but Vegas seems to like Diggs over Crowder but no props on Gurley or Mitchell?

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      It’s a toss up between Crowder and Gurley in PPR. I might go with Gurley, my first round pick. You know he’ll get up for a game vs. ATL + it’s the best matchup he’s had in a while.

  4. ↓ Post By theperfectpour

    what the hell happened between 7 and 9 pm tonight?!!! no pop? no flash? no sizzle? WTF Sirius? Anyway, Marshall or Booker in the flex this week? Standard scoring. Hope to hear you back on the air next week.

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      sorry man, we were all traveling this week, we’ll be back next. I’d roll with Booker based on Vegas, but Marshall always a better threat to score.

  5. ↓ Post By Will

    I have a tough decision to make and need some help. I have to pick two out of: Hill, Hyde, Gurley, R Kelly, Gurley, Ingram & K Dixon. I currently have Hill, Hyde in my RB spot and Kelly & Ingram in my flex but thinking bout putting in Dixon in for Ingram bc I think Baltimore will be playing catch up against New England. What do u guys think? In the 1st week of playoffs so I can’t mess this one up. Thanks in advance for the help (and for the help of getting me here).

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      leave it as is. Good luck.

      1. ↓ Post By Will

        Thanks buddy

  6. ↓ Post By Will

    I forgot to mention the scoring for the above post, it’s 1 pt ppr, thanks again

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