PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 15 DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 15 DFS research or for an extra tool in season-long sit/start decisions. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring this weekend.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

35 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Undertakers

    With Thomas, probably going on IR should I start Beasley or Lazard in a standard league. thanks fellas

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Beasley is the player Josh Allen looks too when he cant push it deep. I’d go with him as AL still getting working his way back…into the circle of trust for fantasy players AND Rodgers.

  2. ↓ Post By Yimi78

    Ppr need 2 zeke, m Gordon, mckissic and Boyd? And Big Ben or Goff?

    1. ↓ Post By Yimi78

      And I have brees too but idk to risky I would think? So brees, Goff or Big Ben?

  3. ↓ Post By sdboor

    Need a flex for a win!
    My team
    Brady
    CRidley, CGodwin, RWoods J.Smith-Shuster, CDLamb
    AEkeler, JRobinson, KDrake, AGibson, EElliott LFournette
    In PPR Play 3 WR 2RB 1 Flex 1 TE
    Played Ekeler and Waller
    Plan to play
    Ridley. Woods and Godwin
    JRobinson
    Need a flex
    Drake or JSmith-Shuster?

    Also. Should I drop Lamb and pick up one of the below to keep away from opponents/week16 use for me?
    Available on Waiver:
    SWatkins, RHiggins
    GEdwards, Jamal Williams

    Thank you

  4. ↓ Post By Buck_Nasty

    1pt ppr flex call:
    Lenny F, Curtis Samuel, Keke

    Thanks boys

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Did you play CS? If not id go with Fournette. Good luck!

  5. ↓ Post By Ron Rich

    Half PPR: Mostert or Jeff Wilson Jr.?

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Mostert is the one. He is the guy who can break the big 50+ yard run. Obviously, JW has TD equity but i still would play RM. Good luck!

  6. ↓ Post By Ron Rich

    Full PPR: Cam Akers, JD McKissic, or Scary Terry at Flex?

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Cam too hot to sit.

  7. ↓ Post By team gooch

    Standard scoring. Diontae Johnson @ Cincy or DJ Moore @ GB?

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      did you get Moore in there?

  8. ↓ Post By kjackson15@angelo.edu

    James Robinson or Mike Davis in .5 PPR?

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Who did you end up playing?

  9. ↓ Post By renourka

    Was able to add Brees and stash him IR spot just before he was activated so do I roll with Big Ben @CIN or start Brees vs. KC in my semi final matchup with the rest of this starting lineup?!

    Adams vs CAR
    Ridley vs TB

    Montgomery @MIN
    Jacobs: 18 pts

    H. Henry: 15 pts

    Akers vs. NYJ

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Brees could be a nice play but carries HUGE risk. First game back, and he could get pulled for Hill when they are on the 5 yard line or closer. I’d prefer Ben (who also has some benching risk for the opposite reason) If Pitt gets up big they could rest him in 3Q.

      Bottom Line, if it were my team I would go with Ben. If you go Brees it def could work out, but more risk than usual with him

  10. ↓ Post By sdboor

    Drake or JuJuSS in PPR?

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Both nice plays, I would lean to Drake. He still gets the bulk of the RB work.

  11. ↓ Post By Rippp

    Hurts or Trubisky? Had planned on using Hurts next week if he does well this week, but the chatter is having me reconsider and playing him this week.

  12. ↓ Post By Rippp

    Need help on Flex/TE. 1/2 pt. ppr.
    Have Cook and Engram, plan is to start Cook and consider Engram as a Flex. Flex options are Engram, Tee Higgins, Gus Edwards, Rashard Higgins or Michael Pittman. What direction would you go?

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Ilike the way you are playing it. Though I would certainly consider Gus Edwards in half PPR. It is basically him and Dobbins , Ingram didn’t get a touch last week (other than the flea flicker pitch back)

  13. ↓ Post By Puma

    Need help. Need 2.
    Ppr

    Ty Hilton, jk dobbins, marquise brown, n Hines or David Johnson.

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Hilton is peaking at the right time play him and DJ.

    2. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Dobbins is live too, he could have that monster game at any time.

  14. ↓ Post By rudymazzocca@yahoo.com

    Ppr need one hollywood brown or Antonio brown? Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      think this was answered in another thread

  15. ↓ Post By Chief58

    Cleveland DST or Patriots against the depleted Dolphins?

    Thanks

  16. ↓ Post By Jasonwdick88@gmail.com

    BBR or Hurts?

  17. ↓ Post By Coltsfan87

    Bring it back…..Team name: Primetime Record 8-6. Semis against the #1 seed and Julio is out for me. Need 1 WR. R. Gage, M Pittman, or K. Coutee?

    1. ↓ Post By Coltsfan87

      Also its PPR

  18. ↓ Post By rw-1Kq1IWQqi

    If there is one Cincinnati player to play in a DFS 50/50 tonight on Fanduel who would it be?

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