PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 16 DraftKings Values Based on Vegas NFL Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 16 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open Week 16 NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in Week 16.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings pricing as a tool in gauging the value of players while setting our DraftKings lineups.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making sit-start decisions in our season-long leagues.


– These are not RW’s Week 16 Rankings. Those are updated through Sunday morning and can be found on the rankings page.

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers put them up through Saturday evenings. We put the tool up once we have at least 4 games or so of props in. Please check back through Saturday evening and Sunday morning leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them early. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. The Week 16 Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic roduction projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)


  1. Merry Christmas, you sleepy goat-milkers! Thank you!

    1. LOL – you too OBP. Safe and Happy Holidays from all of ours to all of yours. Thanks so much for your loyal (and maniacal) support. We are delighted to heard of your success this season.


  2. need 3, 1pt PPR
    Tate,Tyrell Williams, Inman, Mitchell,Robby Anderson, Allen Robinson or Lockett?

    1. RA +

      TWill, MM, ARob, or Lockett

      Vegas likes ARob this week at home- prob take our chances there.

      So #3 prob comes down to TWill or TL for us based on recent targets. Prob lean TWill.

  3. Post By

    merry christmas all,
    New Pro member here

    1. Welcome aboard! We cannot thank you enough for your support. Safe and Happy Holidays from us!

  4. Thank you boys for getting me to the Championship! LOVE RW, you are the best! Need 2 WR’s, non-PPR: Watkins, AJ, Ty Williams, Mitchell. Also have K Benjamin and Diggs.

    Merry Christmas RW Nation!!!

  5. Ware or Farrow non ppr

  6. Clown Car of Lies here,,,,,Really stuck on this one. Have Ware, Ty Montgomery, and Farrow as RB. Start Farrow in flex over Mitchell or leave Montgomery on bench and start Farrow at RB leaving room for Mitchell Help!!!

    1. I’d bench farrow and leave ty in

  7. Clown Car of Lies…..oh, yea, PPR

  8. Week 16! Time to bring home the bacon. 0.5 PPR. I’m starting Brady my opponent has Stafford. Question for you. Should I start Tate or Mitchell at WR? Hate the helpless thought of going into MNF with the Tate/Stafford dependence….unless I have a crushing lead!

    Only other hedge is T Hill. Don’t know if I love that. Stick with Tate or go another way?

    Thanks for everything this year. You rock!!

  9. Need help in 2 championship matchups!

    1) PPR (week one of two week matchup)

    [1] QB: Brees
    [3] WR: OBJ, Evans, Cooper (Mitchell, Nelson, Diggs, Crowder)
    [2] RB: Howard, Gurley (Dixon)
    [1] TE: Walker
    [1] W/R/T: Miller
    DEF: Chiefs

    How worried should I be about Miller tonight? Still start him or make a swap for an earlier game player?!


    Still can’t decide on who to start in my PPR league w/110+ yard rec/rush 8pt bonus!?

    Already starting Freeman but need need 1 WR, and 2 FLEX out of:

    Ty Will @CLE
    T. Coleman @CAR
    D. Adams vs. MIN
    DJax @CHI

    or even Robby Anderson @NE ?!

  10. Chaps Chumps (8-5) have a BIG championship game this week. Rosterwatch nation has helped me get here but I need your help at WR. It’s a PPR and I need 3 out of the following:

    1. D. Hopkins @CIN
    2. B. Cooks @TB
    3. J. Laundry @BUF
    4. S. Diggs @GB
    5. T. Gabriel @CAR

    I appreciate everything you guys do and I love the show on Sirius!

  11. Sir Bobby Reynolds. 12-2
    Last flex spot. PPR. Twill, ware, Inman, Lockett. I’m willing to roll with whomever you deem worthy of RW mojo. (Starting Tate and Alshon and Julio in WR Slots). Thanks and happiest of holidays to you all.

  12. Post By

    I know the tools focus more on RBs, WRs, TEs, but biggest uncertainty I have is who to start at QB? Wilson vs ARI or Winston vs NO? Help please wise RW wizards…

  13. Clown Car of Lies again….last question for you guys! Farrow or Cam Meredith in full point PPR flex?
    Starting Montgomery and Ware at RB. Starting Brown and Mitchell at WR. Two Flex Spots, one with Inman Last with Farrow or Cam Meredith?

  14. Let’s take these championships home!

  15. Post By

    Hi!! Tyrell Williams, Jay Ajay malcom Mitchell? .5 ppr

  16. Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays everyone! May you get gifts and championships a-plenty!

Leave a Reply