PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 4 NFL DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 4 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

42 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Cream6

    Match up question. Manning or Mayfield? Should I wait a week on Baker, or roll with him. Manning does have a good match up.

  2. ↓ Post By rbrusuelas@consolidated.net

    Whoa, so may player props this week. Wish I could play more players (hate having to bench Michel). 🙂

  3. ↓ Post By RTJB

    ppr need 2 gore, ivory, Roddick, Garcon, parker or Jesse james

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      ivory if no shady. otherwise, riddick and garcon

  4. ↓ Post By csmith8092@gmail.com

    14 Team PPR
    Have Fournette in RB1, and Mixon still injured.
    Need RB2: Yeldon, Barber, Richard…or pick up Smallwood or K. Juszczyk,

    Thanks

  5. ↓ Post By rw-WEs7ARvi5

    Standard, need one.
    Lindsey, K. Johnson? Trashman has Johnson a spot ahead on flex rankings but I’m a tweak nervous about Dallas D shutting that down this week. Calm me down bros!

  6. ↓ Post By nwaites.sfs@gmail.com

    Standard scoring and I need one for my flex:

    K. Johnson, A. Ekeler, or S. Shepard?

    Thank you guys!

  7. ↓ Post By rw-0J6YTEmBf

    .5 PPR flex spot help. Calvin Ridley Amari Cooper or James White thanks

  8. ↓ Post By Pablackbird

    Is Julio/TColeman&Gio/Eifert to much from one game in a FD cash lineup. Thanks

  9. ↓ Post By Latty's Lunatiks

    Would I be getting too cute benching Rodgers for Eli or Flacco this week?

  10. ↓ Post By dnastyma

    You might be able to get away with it smaller 50/50 (1-2 dollars) though I would not recommend it. To me this looks like more of a Gpp game stack lineup.

  11. ↓ Post By ejschempp@hotmail.com

    I’ve got an embarrassment of PPR similarity. I need to bench one out of these 5.

    Corey Davis
    Callaway
    Tate
    Mike Williams
    John Brown

    Who would you sit?

    Thank you for all you guys do!

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      i’d probably sit davis with mariota being hurt

      1. ↓ Post By ejschempp@hotmail.com

        Thank you!

  12. ↓ Post By Skemdog

    Eli Manning or case keenum. I also have obj

  13. ↓ Post By Coldbear

    Byron/Alex

    Need help on QB. I stream.

    Fitzpatrick or Tannehill, Bortles, Dalton, Flacco or Keenum. I know about the rankings list but should I consider the others on this list.

    Help!!!!

    1. ↓ Post By Coldbear

      Trashman help? See above

  14. ↓ Post By Coltsfan87

    Team name: Monstars
    Record: 2-1

    Watson or Mahomes?

      1. ↓ Post By Coltsfan87

        Thanks!

  15. ↓ Post By The Emperor

    Stafford or Luck- I’m concerned with the game script @ the Cowboys. Dal is going to run a lot, Det is going to try to establish the run with the cowboys strength in the secondary. I know Luck has a wee lil squirt gun arm but, that game could be more of a shoot out against Hou, who hasn’t stopped anyone.

    Chargers or Browns D/St
    thanks.

  16. ↓ Post By sdboor

    I need 1 from NAgholor, Marvin Jones, Or. Calvin Ridley in PPR

  17. ↓ Post By jjacobs

    Eli or Flacco …… I have OBJ

  18. ↓ Post By Kondo

    Marvin Jones, Enunwa, Boyd or Hogan in a PPR?

      1. ↓ Post By Kondo

        Thanks as always Trashman.
        I feeling especially trashy this morning and currently have Baker in my lineup over Fitz, going against my beloved Bears.
        Tell me I’m crazy.

        1. ↓ Post By Trashman

          yeah, but the good kind.

  19. ↓ Post By mojo1209@yahoo.com

    Russell Wilson or Fitzmagic?

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      wilson is safer. fitz might get pulled. it was close to happening last week

  20. ↓ Post By Pappahoops

    Jay Ajai or Josh Gordon?

  21. ↓ Post By Christopher Moreland

    Amari Cooper, Dion Lewis or Josh Gordon ppr flex?? Or should I drop Cooper and pick up Stills or Callaway??

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      callaway and stills will probably be more consistent. i’d rather try to trade cooper if it’s larger than a 10 team league. i’d probably go with lewis

  22. ↓ Post By Wrex27

    14 Team PPR
    Have Fournette in RB1, and Mixon still injured.
    Need RB2: Yeldon, Barber, Richard…or pick up Smallwood or K. Juszczyk,

    Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      oh man, i suppose barber then.

  23. ↓ Post By sdboor

    Help with WR, please
    Need 1 of. In PPR
    NAgholor. Alshon Jeffrey back today
    Or
    Marvin Jones. Tate plays today and against Dallas
    Or
    Calvin Ridley

    Thank you

  24. ↓ Post By pina225

    Do I chance it with Fournette or roll with Eckler?

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      Gotta roll with Eckler

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