Week 4 DFS Cheat Sheets (DraftKings, FanDuel) and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

PRO members, click here to head over to the downloads section to use the sheets or give HyperDFS a spin.

 

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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

36 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Austin Benedict

    Manny Sanders or A Robinson in ppr?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I’d roll Sanders

  2. ↓ Post By DJ

    Evening Fellas – Is Fournette tradable yet? Was offered Woods and A. Cooper. I have Howard, Hyde, Mixon, and K. Johnson, so looking fairly good. Looking forward to the show tomorrow!

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      That’s fine if you need WR help. don’t trade him for bench guys though.

      1. ↓ Post By DJ

        Thanks Byron. One Man’s Trash is my other team in the CB league – would it interest you to know who my opponent is this weekend? Put up 37 w Kupp.

        1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

          LOL, Byron’s Mom doing work w/ the Golden Son!

  3. ↓ Post By Trace17

    A team has no name
    0.5PPR
    Flex: K. Johnson or S. Shepard?

    1. ↓ Post By Trace17

      Record 3-0

    2. ↓ Post By eyak29

      Johnson. He is working his way to a big workload

  4. ↓ Post By rhettro23@yahoo.com

    Should I try to get rid of J Conner now, while I can get something for him, maybe D Freeman? Just don’t want to get stuck week 13 on with a backup if Bell comes back
    Thanks guys!

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      I would try to move Conner. He is being overvalued by most

      1. ↓ Post By rhettro23@yahoo.com

        Thanks

  5. ↓ Post By paulbwaiter@gmail.com

    Is Jamaal Williams droppable for someone like Henry, d Lewis, Callaway, enunwa, buck, Watkins?

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      Yeah you can definitely drop Williams. He is nothing more than a bye week flex guy

  6. ↓ Post By FF_Hookem

    Rashad Penny worth rostering over A Miller?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      6:1 , half dozen to the other- depends on if you need a WR or a RB

  7. ↓ Post By Pappahoops

    Looking forward to hearing you guys tonight on SiriusXM!

    I have a idiot Cowboy fan that is in love with Dan Bailey. She is new to ff. She keeps pestering my for a trade.

    I intend to oblige her with a Dan Bailey for Julio Jones offer. Before you scoff at the offer realize that I am going to throw in one of the following, Callaway, J Brown, or C Godwin. (Now it’s just laughable and not obscene)

    I like the three fairly equally so please help me decide which bone do I throw her, as I gently insert mine!!!!

    ,

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Jesus, everything about this post is COCKAMAMIE!

      1. ↓ Post By Pappahoops

        Who do you drop Callaway, Brown or Godwin?

  8. ↓ Post By RedAlert

    1 pt PPR, need 2

    L. Miller
    P. Lindsay
    R. Freeman
    Kerryon Johnson

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Prob Miller and Kerryon

  9. ↓ Post By berms

    Good morning,

    I’m looking at QB match-ups and the Tool is telling me to start M Ryan over Watson and to start R Wilson (bonus with Baldwin back) over Wentz. Do you agree that Ryan and Wilson are the way to play it this weekend. Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Morning Berms! Thx for your support!

      Good options- tough call, make sure to always check the rankings and use the matchup tool as the tie breaking device.

      I’d go Wilson over Wentz. Watson vs Ryan is incredibly tough. Back 2 back in our rankings- I’d only break that tie or flip those rankings if the rating on the matchup tool is significantly better for one vs the other. I’m prob rolling Watson

  10. ↓ Post By jmorrisFF

    Start 2 WR and 1 flex PPR. Would you trade away T.Y. and Kerryon for Mixon. I’m heavy at WR. I have
    AJ, TY, Emmanuel, JuJu, and Edelman. Mixon would be my RB2 when he comes back with Saquon.

    Sucks have to sit T.Y. or Emmanuel every week.

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      i think kerryon is going to get really valuable, but you can do the trade and be ok

  11. ↓ Post By Austin Benedict

    Trade away Robinson or Sanders for Drake? My WRs are Robinsons, Sanders, AB, and Hilton. RBs are Freeman, Lamar Miller, Drake and Penny.

    1. ↓ Post By Austin Benedict

      Not Drake. Sorry.

    2. ↓ Post By Trashman

      i don’t love it. maybe robinson cause his offense stinks

  12. ↓ Post By jimgolden19@yahoo.com

    Flex question in a full-point PPR – need 1 of the following 3 this week:
    D. Lewis
    N. Agholor
    A. Callaway

    Thanks!!

      1. ↓ Post By jimgolden19@yahoo.com

        Thanks Trashman!

  13. ↓ Post By Gman

    Need to drop one for a kicker. .5 ppr

    R Barber
    A Callaway
    M Williams

    Thanks

  14. ↓ Post By sdboor

    How would you suggest I choose 1 of these 3 WR for tomorrow
    PPR
    NAgholor. Or. Marvin Gordon. Or. Calvin Ridley?

  15. ↓ Post By sdboor

    Sorry 1 of. Agholor, Marvin Jones Or Calvin Ridley in PPR

  16. ↓ Post By caswell3030@yahoo.com

    L. miller or carlos hyde watykins or boyd….i need 1 RB and 1 flex in a full point ppr

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