PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 7 DraftKings Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 7 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this second round of the playoffs.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings pricing as a tool in gauging the value of players while setting our DraftKings lineups.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our playoff-only leagues or for DFS use on other sites than DK.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them early. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

39 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By xraytakr

    If Fournette is definitely out, how far up does Ivory jump?

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      mid to high end RB2 territory.

  2. ↓ Post By Show Me Your TDs

    Standard scoring 16 team record is 3-3

    Need a flex out of Alshon, Zay, and Keenan
    And is A. Morris droppable for Golladay? Or hold out on him

    WRs are Julio, Antonio, Alshon, keenan, C Davis, and zay
    RBs are CJ, D Henry, jamaal, Foreman, McGuire, A Morris

    Listening on Sirius with a cup of coffee from my phone right now keep up the great work y’all are the best

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Alshon

      You can drop Morris for Golladay

  3. ↓ Post By Bselle

    Marcus Mariota & Kelvin Benjamin for Devante Adams and Devin Funchess? Ten team standard. I have Russell Wilson put am a little nervous about him going forward. I would be getting Mariota & Benjamin. Would you do this?

  4. ↓ Post By Coldbear

    Need 1. 1pt PPR
    D Martin
    Ivory
    McKinnon
    Chris Thompson

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Think McKinnon is probably the play but tempted to say Ivory. My choice would be between those two -GL

  5. ↓ Post By AllabouttheTD

    I can’t see ppr or standard on the rankings this week guys?

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      something is up with the feed from Fantasy Pros – it keeps messing up this year, we are looking to switch for next season. If you have a specific question you can always ask and we’ll try to answer.

  6. ↓ Post By stephen

    PPR. need 2. ivory, hyde, cj anderson. also, john brown or sanu.

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      I’d go Ivory, Hyde, Sanu.

      1. ↓ Post By stephen

        sorry i forgot to include martavious bryant along with john brown and sanu

  7. ↓ Post By Incognito

    Question of the day — if Fournette sites would you start Chris ivory over Melvin Gordon, who is questionable v. Denver Def. …..and is Derrick Henry the play this weekend.

  8. ↓ Post By acampors

    Question on flex, non ppr – 14 team with no real bench or waivers

    Should I play Keenan Allen, with Sterling Shepard or Willie gallman as backup at 4:25

    Or just play Derrick Henry at 1pm?

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Might just roll Henry. Hard to imagine a monster outta Keenan vs. No Fly Zone

  9. ↓ Post By OBP

    What a crap shoot today is going to be! I’m starting ‘Ghini and Julio. PPR – I need three more from the following: DeMarco, Henry, TyMo, Keenan, Smallwood, and Rishard.

    I’m leaning towards Henry, TyMo, and Rishard. I just don’t trust Murray to play significantly with the bye coming up.

    Thanks for helping me sort through this clusterfrack.

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      think your original idea is fine. GL

  10. ↓ Post By Brian

    So should I start Jimmy Graham or Cameron Brate ? Standard league.

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      I’d go Graham. GL.

  11. ↓ Post By Adam

    1 pt ppr, need 1
    M. Bryant,s. shepard, t cohen, or D Martin

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Martin for floor, Martavis for upside, GL.

  12. ↓ Post By Rippp

    1/2 pt ppr. Need two of three.

    C. Hyde, D. Henry or T. Coleman.

    Thanks….

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Unless Murray is inactive, I go Hyde and Coleman – GL.

  13. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

    1 ppr. Funchess or Ivory?

  14. ↓ Post By lamar.stokes83@gmail.com

    1 or ppr

    Evan Engram, Aaron Jones, Dion Lewis, Josh Doctson

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Probably roll out Engram here, GL.

  15. ↓ Post By WhoDat

    Start Ivory over CJA in 1PPR?

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      I don’t think it’s totally necessary, but if you aren’t risk-averse, it might be a higher-upside play to get in Ivory as he technically doesn’t have the competition for touches that CJA now seems to w/ Booker and JC. GL.

  16. ↓ Post By stephen

    need 2 flex.. ppr.. duke johnson, ty montgomary, smallwood, buck allan.. also decker or sanu

  17. ↓ Post By Sushi

    Mixon or Keenan Allen? (PPR)

    Mixon or Doug Martin? (STD)

    Shepherd, Keenan, Doctson? (STD – Pick 1)

    Mixon, Kamara, Martin? (STD – Pick 2)

    Thanks!

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      mixon, mixon, shepard, sit kamara

  18. ↓ Post By freebird

    Standard scoring, I grabbed Ivory late yesterday (dropped Tyrod after deciding to roll with Carr). Need to decide on a flex.

    WR THill & MEvans
    RB MGordon
    TE TKelce

    My choices for 2nd RB and Flex are DMartin, CIvory, AKamara, TColeman, DHenry and KAllen

    Not feeling good about Allen and iffy about Martin. Seems Demarco will play to some degree. Is this an obvious case of Ivory, or go with good matchups of Kamara or Coleman?

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      How did you change your icon? I have been looking all over the site and cant find it.

      1. ↓ Post By freebird

        I’m assuming you mean my avatar? If so, the instructions provided last year were to create an online account on Gravatar (the site RWN uses). I don’t remember the steps but think it was rather intuitive once you create your account and select the picture.

        And I seem to recall Byron or Alex sharing a few months ago that they might be changing this process so assume they will post something once that is done (but doubt it will be during the season due to workload).

        Good luck!

  19. ↓ Post By BIG SWOLE

    Love You Guys!

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