Associated Press

PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 8 DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 8 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

photo via AP

38 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By AbnerLofton

    .5 PPR

    Bench one

    Jonnu @ CIN
    Kupp @ MIA
    Aiyuk @SEA
    Goedert vs DAL
    Higgins vs TEN

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      that’s tough. probably kupp

  2. ↓ Post By born2beast

    Henderson, Montgomery, J.White, Mims, Slayton, Lamb need one(1) RB and one (1) flex out of all these guys? Ppr

    Fant, Goedert, Perine, S.Miller, Hasty need one (1) TE and one (1) flex out of all these guys? Ppr

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Henderson and probably Montgomery

  3. ↓ Post By D Ron

    Flex spot in ppr.
    Who are we going with?
    Devonta parker
    Damien harris
    Moss
    Or jk dobbins

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Prob Moss or Dobbins

  4. ↓ Post By ESal

    Full point ppr (real thin thanks to injuries)

    Hines
    Homer
    McKinnon

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      McKinnon if no Coleman- I might go Hines otherwise

  5. ↓ Post By Incognito

    Now that Alan Robinson is cleared to play, which three would you start — hasty, Parker, AJ green or Robinson. Need to pick three. Thanks.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I’d bench Hasty if Coleman plays. If not- I’d probably bench Parker in a tough matchup

  6. ↓ Post By Incognito

    One more question. Which eagle TE would you start? Rodgers or Goedert?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Goedert

  7. ↓ Post By Bigmanmike

    -Need a flex from the following Parker, McKinnon, Beasley, C Davis, L Perine
    – Need a flex Gordon, Golladay, Beasley
    – Need a flex T Higgins, Landry, McKinnon, Parker.
    – Need 1 WR and a flex T-Higgins, Dobbins, Diontae Johnson, Golladay, Beasley, D Henderson.
    Thank you RW…

    1. ↓ Post By Bigmanmike

      PPR

    2. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      1-You have floor plays vs upside plays , I like Beasley as a floor play there. If you want to go for it, Parker (with Tua) could be the one.

      2-Golladay

      3-THiggins

      4- Golladay and Dobbins (flex that could bottom out, if you want to have a better floor Higgins )

      Good luck!

  8. ↓ Post By Coachzilly

    PPR Pick 1: T Higgins, Hollywood Brown. R Woods
    RB Pick 1 PPR: Edwards, Hasty, Coleman
    Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Woods feels the safest, but I’d press the gas on HWB. Coming out of the bye, big game. Prepare for an all or nothing type of day from him.

      RB I’m going, Edwards. Nice projectable floor with some upside.

  9. ↓ Post By Don Fanucci

    PPR

    Flex. Justin Jackson, JK Dobbins, Henry Ruggs, John Brown

    TE. Jonnu Smith, Robert Tonyan.
    Would you put one of the TE in the flex instead of the above?

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Great options. Lower floor than some of the others but Dobbins is the nuclear option there. Fire him up!

      Jonnu is the one, but its close there.

  10. ↓ Post By nojoe

    Need 2 .5 ppr. DIONTAE JOHNSON, TEE HIGGINS or MARQUISE BROWN….thanks in advance

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      HWB in a great spot. If he is going to have a breakout game, I think this would be it. The sharp bettors like the under, I think they are wrong. This has the makings of an offensive classic. Higgins is the better bet for targets. Johnson came through last week but low yardage on the high targets was concerning for projecting fwd. Any of those Pitt WRs could be the lucky fantasy winner.

  11. ↓ Post By nceteras@gmail.com

    Josh Allen or Joe Burrow?

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      I roll Burrow, good luck

      1. ↓ Post By nceteras@gmail.com

        Sweet! Thank you Alex, much appreciated. I’ve been leaning that way all week. Just finished listening to you guys on Sirius. Great show as always!

  12. ↓ Post By nicholsm430@comcast.net

    Good morning, Need some help please.
    PPR who is the ONE player that sits out of this group: M. Gordon, A. Robinson, C. Kupp, T. Fulgham, S. Diggs? Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Great options. Kupp has been the player with modest upside. I think you can sit him and feel decent about it.

  13. ↓ Post By nceteras@gmail.com

    One last question, need one of these in the flex (Thank you!):

    AJ Green
    D Parker
    L Bell
    Gaskin

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      I like the narrative around Bell revenge game today. That is who I would go with.

      1. ↓ Post By nceteras@gmail.com

        Thanks!!! I’ve been stumped with this group. All 4 are are wild cards in their own way. Who knows what will happen with Tua under center and of course Bell/Green can be boom/bust very easily. Appreciate the advice.

  14. ↓ Post By beni8790

    I need to start 1 of 4 (standard league)… Tevin Coleman, Damien Harris, jk dobbins or Hollywood brown?

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Dobbins is the nuclear option. Go for it. Press the button!

  15. ↓ Post By Coachzilly

    PPR Pick 1: T Higgins, Hollywood Brown. R Woods
    RB Pick 1

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      I’m in on HWB this week. Good luck!

  16. ↓ Post By Chappy_72

    Carr or Josh Allen at QB?

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Allen’s floor is higher. I know the matchup is tough, but I can see a big ushing day from JA. Tough call but I’d lean Allen

  17. ↓ Post By Chief58

    PPR. Jonnu over Andrews crazy?

    Thanks

  18. ↓ Post By Brian

    would you trade Gibson for CDH in a 1/2 ppr?

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      In a redraft format, I think it is reasonable to like Gibson more than CEH.

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