Week 1 Main Slate DFS Cheat Sheets + HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

PRO members, click here to head over to the downloads section to use the sheets or give HyperDFS a spin.

 

screen-shot-2016-12-06-at-6-00-01-pm
NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

16 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By lundylove

    Would you drop Gallup for Hunter Renfrow in ppr

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Don’t think so

  2. ↓ Post By Incognito

    With Brown out should I drop Kirk or MVS for Tyrell Williams ? thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yeah you should-
      prob MVS

      1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        Although though MVS looked pretty good on TNF

        1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

          Eh. Rather have Rodgers throwing to MvS than that trash can Carr!

  3. ↓ Post By HeavyHittaz

    I’m being offered Mike Evans for AB

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      Take it.

  4. ↓ Post By dude6guy9@gmail.com

    Darren Walker or mark andrews?

    1. ↓ Post By Baron VonIronCock

      Close
      Dart throw waller

    2. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      Andrews.

  5. ↓ Post By Incognito

    Yes, Brady is a free agent in my league — I have Wentz and Winston as QBs, I am thinking of dropping Winston for Brady. Need to do it tonight. How much of the FAAB should I use? thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Baron VonIronCock

      Fuuuuccckkk noo
      Brady is 39028 years old
      I can shoot ropes farther than he can throw now…
      Plus regardless of ab gordon and edelman theyre going to run alot … alot
      Winston gonna be playin from behind alot this yr
      Wont have a choice to throw the ball.

      Just hope he dont get benched for interceptions

      1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        “Shoot Ropes” smh BVIC ‍♂️

  6. ↓ Post By rw-pvSm5eOgV

    Hello RW Nation can you guys tell me is it safe to use the DK dis cheat sheet for Fantasy Draft?

  7. ↓ Post By cain.danielc@gmail.com

    Too soon to drop Jamis Winston? I’ve got Tom Brady in the bench. Brissett, and Mariota are available on wavers. Does someone need to talk me off the ledge?? Is this a knee jerk reaction?

Leave a Reply