Week 11 Fantasy QB Situational Tool
Alex Dunlap, Rosterwatch.com

Here we list the Top 15 QBs who will be playing this Sunday and Monday. Please note, these are not our rankings. Our rankings can be found on the front page of RosterWatch.com in the FantasyPros.com Player Ranker.

This tool serves as a graphic representation of fantasy QB performance in 2011 and 2012 situationally. It compares the differences in fantasy output in home vs. away situations, indoor vs. outdoor situations and division opponent vs. non-division opponent situations.

The situation each QB is facing Week 11 is highlighted in either red or blue. Blue represents the fantasy output having been better on average during this span than the alternative. Red represents the opposite.

Takeaways-

-Aaron Rodgers has gone off in dome games.

-For Peyton Manning, I had to use 2010 numbers to make for the two-year sample, but found it interesting that he, Matt Ryan and Matt Stafford are all pretty safe plays for 25 points against division opponents.

-For all the fuss that was made about Manning being an “indoor QB” he has been much, much better outdoors during this span. Like 125 yards or 1 TD better per game in standard leagues.

-We obviously only have one year of history on RG3, but it raises an eyebrow how much better he has been in away than in home games this season.

-In the last two seasons, only two QBs have been better against division opponents than Cam Newton. Drew Brees and Tom Brady.

-Joe Flacco has been much worse away than at home, particularly in 2012. If not for one 35-point monster at the beginning of 2011 at St. Louis, things would look even worse.

Here are Flacco’s home game fantasy point outputs in 2012: 22.9, 31.4, 28.2, 15.9, 35.2.

True fantasy QB1 numbers for standard leagues.

Here are Flacco’s away game fantasy point outputs in 2012: 15.6 (against a bad Philadelphia Eagles defense), 10.8 (against a horrible Kansas City Chiefs team), 12.1 (at HOU), and 11.8 is all he could muster in Cleveland.

Notice a trend here? I’m selling high after last week any way I can, and certainly not establishing any false sense of confidence in Flacco as any sort of QB1 outside of a drastic QBBC approach.