Week 14 DFS Cheat Sheets (DraftKings, FanDuel) and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

PRO members, click here to head over to the downloads section to use the sheets or give HyperDFS a spin.

 


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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

13 Comments

  1. Jalen samuels or Jeff WILSON at flex in a ppr ?

  2. Need WR2 and flex play PPR- Hilton,juju,mixon,ekeler,edwards,ware. these decisions are so tuff especially with playoffs!

  3. In PPR
    SWare or G Edwards or JAdams?
    Who’s game script most likely to be beneficial
    Who has most upside?

    1. edwards on all accounts. the ravens will try to keep the ball on the ground and out of mahomes hands

  4. How much will the weather affect my players in TB on Sunday
    I have playing
    JWinston. Kamara. And Lutz.

    1. it’s hard to say. we’ve overreacted to most bad weather games this season. I think you’re good

  5. Team Name: Hurricane Ditka
    Record: 12-1

    10 team full point ppr league with 7 bench spots so I have lots of depth at RB and WR.

    Need to flex one of the following players.

    Sony Michel
    Joe Mixon
    Mark Ingram
    Gus Edwards
    Spencer Ware
    Stefon Diggs
    Adam Humphries

    My current starting RBs and WRs are Saquon Barkley, Ezekiel Elliott, Julio Jones, and JuJu Smith-Schuster. This team is sick.

  6. Good morning. Well the playoffs have started and Leonard Fournette did me no favors Thursday night. I need some help.

    Here is my team. Question at QB and RB2. 1pt ppr and 3WR with no flex.

    QB. Goff
    RB1 Fournette
    RB2. James White, Mixon, Gus Edwards, Spencer Ware or McCoy.
    WR Julio Jone
    WR Kenny Golladay
    WR Antonio Brown
    TE. C Herndon( need help here as well in the TE wasteland)
    K zuerlein
    Def. Denver

    Bench
    QB Jameis Winston
    RB McCoy
    RB Mixon
    RB Gus Edwards
    RB Spencer Ware
    WR Josh Reynolds
    TE waiver wire.,Jordan Thomas(Texans) Ian Thomas (Carolina) or Uzimah or Matt Lacosse. No clue what to do here.

    QB decision, RB2 decision and TE.

  7. Post By ginaadelman@gmail.com

    Standard league. Thanks! I’m in the playoffs every year I subscribe to Roster Watch!
    Can I drop James Conner for the rest of the season?

  8. congrats! looks like he’s going to miss multiple games. if you can add someone who will help you win, then i’d do it.

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