RWi Week 4 Wide Receiver Touchdown Dependency Tool

Byron BylineJust as we’ve unrolled the first running back metrics of the season, here are the touchdown dependency numbers for the Top 50 fantasy receivers through three weeks. As we always say, we prefer owning players who are not overly touchdown-reliant for their fantasy production. Often times, touchdown-dependent players are “overproducing” in the short-term, while less touchdown-dependent players are more reliable relative to their average production on a weekly basis long-term. Since fantasy football is a weekly proposition where you must always field a competitive team, we are more comfortable knowing what we are going to get when we set our lineups.

Overly touchdown-reliant prospects can also be nice trade bait if you think their numbers are inflated. The typical fantasy owner will just look at their average or total points on the season and disregard the nuance. Take advantage of those owners in your league.

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12 Comments

  1. Hi Byron,
    May I get your opinion please?
    I need 2:

    Khiry Robinson @Dallas
    Keenan Allen vs. Jax
    Kelvin Benjamin @Balt
    TY Hilton vs. Tenn

    Thank you and GL Sunday.

    Mike

  2. MikeVegas

    Khiry + Kelvin GOOD LUCK

  3. Dear FootballKing,

    I like Benjamin.

    My real dilemma is between Keenan Allen who is home vs the soft Jax defense who has given up a ton of passing yards and Khiry Robinson who will get a lot of snaps against a Cowboy defense giving up 100yds/gm.

    Best Wishes,
    MikeVegas

  4. Hey Byron,
    Who should I start this weekend? Keenan Allen or TU Hilton? Thx!

  5. Terrifik1 again, 14 Team Standard Scoring.
    Flex question, need 3 outta the 4: Colston, S. Jax, Trent Richardson and Greg Jennings. Thanks!

  6. Terrance Williams or Allen Robinson in the flex? PPR league.

  7. Hey Bryon,

    I need to RB’s of these four:
    D. Brown, Spiller, Rainey or Gearhart?

    Also, Peterson was my No #1 pick, he’s still on my bench. I missed out on Asiata. He got drafted before I had the chance. I picked up McKinnon because of all the hype. Unfortunately the workload is going to Asiata. What’s ypur take on Peterson? Is he done for the year? Do I drop both Peterson and Mckinnon and free up two rosters spots or only one of them and which one?
    Thanks, Anthony

    1. Brown and Spiller. Peterson is not in Minnesota’s future plans according to ESPN. I’d hold onto McKinnon.

  8. Travis kelce or I can trade Carlos Hyde for delanie walker? .5 ppr

    1. If you’re strong at rb feel free to trade. I think Kelce is a fine play though.

  9. Who better to have for wr depth moving forward: Marvin Jones or James Jones?

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