Week 5 DFS Cheat Sheets (DraftKings, FanDuel) and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

PRO members, click here to head over to the downloads section to use the sheets or give HyperDFS a spin.

 

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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

26 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By rw-ylUZAT8OG

    Just got offered Zach Ertz and Dalvin Cook for Christian Mcaffrey and Greg Olsen my QB is Carson Wentz do I do it?? My other running backs I start are hyde and hunt.

    1. ↓ Post By rw-ylUZAT8OG

      Sorry whole point PPR

      2. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        Counter w/ Hyde or Hunt. If you don’t have a good TE, that is a solid deal.

  2. ↓ Post By Brandon

    Give up Devonta Freeman and Will Fuller for Fournette and ARob? DJ and and the two Denver backs are my other RBS.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Too close to call. You should be getting more. If not, wait and play your guys this weekend try to get a win. Then revisit next wk when ARob comes off BYE.

      1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        Don’t think I would do it

  3. ↓ Post By dsingh

    PPR trade:

    Getting: Mixon
    Giving: Fournette and Crowell

    Rbs: Lindsay, Kerryon, R. Jones, Smallwood

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yes

  4. ↓ Post By Pablackbird

    Ppr trade question. My Barkley, TY &DLewis for his MThomas, Fournette and Yeldon.
    My other rb’s: Mixon, Michel, DCook. Wr’s: Juju, MJones, Callaway, Godwin.
    Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I think so. Thomas would be a huge add for you

  5. ↓ Post By Hoagy

    I was thinking that Aaron Jones & Cousins would make the DK cheatsheet this week. Hopefully you guys talk about them on the podcast.

  6. ↓ Post By Mikey

    Who is the better WR going forward? Fuller or Ridley?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Prob Fuller, pending his health. Pretty damn close.

  7. ↓ Post By Coldbear

    Byron,

    AJ Green and Ingram for Davante Adams, Royce Freeman and one of these 2 Boyd or R Woods. 1pt ppr

    I have Kamara and Mixon and Schuster

  8. ↓ Post By rbrusuelas@consolidated.net

    Trade my Lindsay for his Jeffreys or for his Baldwin? I have Barkley, Gordon, Mixon, Conner and Michel. My WRs are JuJu, Cooks, Sanders.

  9. ↓ Post By Bmoneylove

    Soooo I’m trying to follow the TradeCast directive and get Fournette or Bell, but the owners in my league are being D-Holes…..

    Bentley Ballers 3-1 in 10 team .5 PPR.
    QB – Rivers and Bortles
    RB – Gurley, J Connor, Lynch, Kerryon, Crowell
    WR – Keenan Allen, AJ Green, E Sanders, Jordy, Marvin Jones
    TE – Graham and ASJ

    I made two offers to the Fournette owner to choose from: Crowell and Marvin Jones, or Lynch and Sanders….rejected

    I also offered Marvin Jones to the Bell owner and got turned down.

    Is it me who’s actually the asshole and going about this the wrong way?

  10. ↓ Post By raymondgawel@hotmail.com

    Need 1 of these 4 for last flex spot, standard scoring: D Lewis, P Lindsay, K Stills or I Crowell.

  11. ↓ Post By berms

    I’m concerned about Minn v Philly this weekend. I think that the Vikings are do for a good defensive outing so I am thinking of fading Wentz for Bortles. What do you think?

  12. ↓ Post By tcards19

    .5 PPR Latavius Murray or Alex Collins

  13. ↓ Post By AbnerLofton

    .5 PPR

    Drop Agholor for Coutee, Sutton, or Montgomery?

  14. ↓ Post By Burchoi

    Full point PPR, who has the most upside at TE? Heureman, Ellison, Gates, or Swaim?

  15. ↓ Post By illinois_red@yahoo.com

    Offered a trade: 1/2 PPR, 12 Team League

    Kareem Hunt
    For, Cam Newton and Jordan Howard

    I lost J. Garoppolo, D Carr is my QB

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