PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 5 NFL DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 5 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

14 Comments

  1. Post By rbrusuelas@consolidated.net

    Start Cooks vs SEA or Sanders vs NYJ? And trade Lindsay for Baldwin or Jeffery? I have Barkley, Gordon, Nixon, Michel but weaker at WR.

  2. Post By michaelshawver@gmail.com

    1 pt PPR

    WR: Need 2
    M. Sanu, J. Crowder, Sterling Shepard, Marvin Jones

    RB: Need 1
    M. Ingram, Kerryon Johnson

  3. Help! Need a 2 for one trade to open up a roster spot for a kicker. Roster: Mahomes/Wentz; D.Henry, Barkley, T. Coleman, A. Jones, M. Breida, Schuster,D. Hopkins, T.Boyd,C.Davis,K.Stills, A.Calloway. Advice on trade to strengthen roster? Is Henry droppable vs Calloway or Stills?

  4. Post By Austin Benedict

    Better QB streamer this week.

    Tannehill, Mayfield, Beathard, Keenum

  5. Post By smithsonje@gmail.com

    Thanks for the great advice last week guys, I am back again

    Fox River Trouser Trout 3-1 (top points for)

    Rb2
    Aaron Jones or Dion Lewis

    I am worried about the T. Hill/J.Ramsey matchup. Is there any scenario where I could or should go safer with Tyler boyd at the flex and promote Juju to WR2 (1 point league)

    Thank you gents

    1. jones, i think juju and boyd are fine

      1. Post By smithsonje@gmail.com

        Thank you trashman for always making time and checking each question!

  6. A. Jones or c. Ridley in flex

    Thank you.

    Ppr

    1. Very tough I’d go Ridley tho.

  7. Fellas: Should I drop Tyrell Williams and pick-up/play Marquez Valdes-Scantling if Allison is out? 1pt PPR.

    1. if that’s your best option, yes

  8. Post By jshoemaker3280@gmail.com

    Baldwin or Aaron Jones?

    1. believe it or not A Jones might be safer.

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