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Week 6 DFS Cheat Sheets (FanDuel, DraftKings) and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available

Mike Band Heashot 750Week 6 DFS Cheat Sheets: FanDuel and DraftKings
By Mike Band and the RosterWatch staff
Follow Mike Band on Twitter

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

 

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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEET

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

The Vegas Tool will be out before the main slate occurs.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the Cheat Sheets and utilize the HyperDFS tool.

40 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By ea4582

    Ok I’m taking notes and trying to sell high and buy Low.
    Can you rank my WRs ROS? Hilton Cooks Baldwin Tyreke Hill Jaron Brown

    That being said would you trade M Gordon for Mixon/Ajayi?
    My rbs are- Gordon, foreman, Collins, brieda, gallman, McGuire

  2. ↓ Post By g.l.stark@att.net

    Hello. I am doing GPP on Draftkings and struggling with a RB question. Two spots to fill
    who do i take
    Jay Ajay
    Buck Allen
    Chris Thompson
    Riddic

    Thanks

  3. ↓ Post By MrVacay

    Kamara or Mckinnon? .5 point ppr

  4. ↓ Post By Deagsdan

    Big Dynasty Trade (well for me it is)
    12 team ppr

    Been offered Brandon Cooks for J Howard and ’18 first. Pick should be mid round. I will still have another first round pick, projected to be top 4.

    My Roster:
    Dak
    Dalton

    Fournette
    Cook
    Howard
    Carson
    Perine

    Kelvin Benj
    Gabriel
    Golladay
    Goodwin
    Ricardo Louis
    Cam Merideth
    Paul Rich
    John Ross

    KIttle
    Rudolph

    Does this trade work for my team? Thanks guys

    Deagsdan

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      I would not give up a first for cooks but you definitely need some wr help

      1. ↓ Post By eyak29

        Just seems like your giving up too much for a boom or bust guy

  5. ↓ Post By eyak29

    Who do you like better for cash games on DraftKings Ingram or Kamara?

  6. ↓ Post By Coldbear

    Abdullah or Martin this week. 1pt PPR

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      Abdullah has the better match up this week.

  7. ↓ Post By Christopher

    Has anyone won big using these cheat sheets?? I could have played my Yahoo league and beat this site…..I feel like I have wasted a good 30 bills with no better results than sitting around the office asking coworkers for their picks

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      I have won money every week but last week. Fantasy picks can’t be right every week. The game has way too variables to be perfect every week. This is why the smart players only play a percentage of their bankroll every week. You are going to have bad weeks.

  8. ↓ Post By Kwillee@hotmail.com

    Trade question… being offered J Howard and Landry for Thomas and Brate. My team is as follows…

    RB
    Hyde
    Mccaffrey
    T Coleman
    Henry
    D’onta
    Breida
    WR
    Evans
    Thomas
    Cooks
    Djax
    TE
    ASF
    Brate

    Thomas has a much better schedule going forward and I would have to eat Howard’s bye.

    Thoughts???

    1. ↓ Post By Kwillee@hotmail.com

      Oh yeah 1pt ppr!

    2. ↓ Post By eyak29

      You definitely need the running back help but I’m not sure I would give up Thomas. Maybe see how the trade partner feels about cooks

      1. ↓ Post By Kwillee@hotmail.com

        Trust me I tried to push Cooks! I play in a very competitive league and there are seldom trades at all! And if you are the initiating the trade you will automatically have to pay a premium otherwise you will just get laughed at. There is never any buying low or selling high. Once again the entire league is savy and know the game. Makes the RW system of cultivating players to then trade for premium very hard if at all able to do.

  9. ↓ Post By fragglerock

    Should I drop Tarik or McGuire for D’onta?!?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Close call. Any of those guys is fine. Keep or pickup whoever you prefer.

  10. ↓ Post By dsingh

    Trade PPR

    Giving : Jones
    Getting : L. Miller

    Have Foreman and he Montgomery

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      If that Jones is Julio you can’t do this trade.

    2. ↓ Post By dsingh

      Aaron Jones

  11. ↓ Post By edwardethan

    Worth using my waiver (3/12) on getting Dak? Currently have Kirk as my QB. Cheers

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Close call- we prob would not. Would have no problem if you did, though- you know your league best.

  12. ↓ Post By QuestFor7

    You guys are truly maniacal…zigging while other people zag. I listened to the trade podcast and it is great just like everything else you guys do. Would you trade Marshawn Lynch for Tom Brady or Deshaun Watson and Wayne Gallman?
    12 team, .5 PPR

    My RBs are: Devonta Freeman, Lynch, Joe Mixon, Samaje Perine, Tarik Cohen and Jamaal Charles
    WR: Michael Thomas, Keenan Allen, Martavis Bryant, Will Fuller, Cooper Kupp and Corey Davis

    My only QB is Big Ben…guys in my league are rostering 2 or 3 QBs so the WW would make Trashman hold his nose.

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      I think you should do this trade. Not till next week though. Lynch is in line for his best game of the season. You might be able to get someone better than gallman as a throw in.

      1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        Eyak- you are awesome. Email me rosterwatch@gmail.com and we’ll comp your most recent monthly charge.

    2. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yeah, I’d prob do the deal. If your waiver wire is slime at RB, I might take the Watson + Gallman deal. If you think you can continue to cultivate some RB options through the wire- Brady is a rock solid add. Good work.

  13. ↓ Post By rw-RH3Y8l6Xw

    Hey Guys,

    Full point ppr do I start

    henry or reed

    flex start snead or james white?

    thanks!

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      Always check the rankings. I would go Henry. 51 o/u and the raiders can’t cover anyone especially tight ends. And you have to go white. It’s unclear how much playing time Snead will get since he is being brought back “slowly”

    2. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Think you prob go with Reed in ppr.

      Probably James White.

  14. ↓ Post By larrymac

    Byron

    Lone Wolf 2-3

    need your help in a ppr

    sit 1 of the 4

    golden tate
    mckinnon
    garcon
    thielen

    thanks

    LARRY

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I got ya brother-

      I’m playing McKinnon and Garcon for sure. Then I’d refer to the matchup tool to choose between Tate and Thielen.

  15. ↓ Post By thetzel3@aol.com

    Need to fill in my flex 1pt ppr. I have Kupp, Snead, J Cook or I could drop one of them and pickup R Mathews? I have Brees playing & ASJ in as TE.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I’d prob roll RM, maybe Kupp.

  16. ↓ Post By RockyCrab

    Jordy, Landry or Pryor PPR. Worried about Nelson’s matchup even though he’s a must start

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Jordy Nelson is always a must start. If I was dumb enough to pivot last minute, it would likely be to Pryor.

      1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        correct that- it would prob be to Landry in PPR.

  17. ↓ Post By stephen

    PPR need 1. hyde, breida, perine, or pryor. also on a different team.. PPR need 1. montgomery, or duke johnson

  18. ↓ Post By rw-2sRktERVm

    12 team PPR
    Sit one
    DMart
    Kamara
    Ellington
    Buck Allen
    Thx!

  19. ↓ Post By The_Stahlman60

    ppr need 2 of 3
    keenan allen
    marty bryant
    davante adams

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