Week 8 DFS Cheat Sheets (DraftKings, FanDuel) and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available

Mike Band Heashot 750Week 8 DFS Cheat Sheets: FanDuel and DraftKings
By Mike Band and the RosterWatch staff
Follow Mike Band on Twitter

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

 

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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEET

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

The Vegas Tool will be out before the main slate occurs.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the Cheat Sheets and utilize the HyperDFS tool.

13 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By ea4582

    Who do you think is the best Dynasty keeper to place on my roster? 12 tm standard
    Zay Jones
    John Ross
    Kenny Golladay
    Davonte Booker
    Paul Richardson

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Ross.

    2. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      argument for Golladay. But, we like to go nuclear with John Ross in our own dynasty leagues.

  2. ↓ Post By Incognito

    Weather Q. Rain and heavy rain expected in Philly and New York Sunday pm. Would you suggest any lineup changes for rain impacted players? Which position is likely to under perform in rain/wind? QB, RBs OR WRs? Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      We try not to let weather reports swindle us. Might downgrade the eagles pass game a bit if it’s a real mess. Would continue to like their RBs. Same w/ NYJ , ATL, SF.

      1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        but warning – most times we ever make last minute moves based on “weather” – it usually goes awry on us.

  3. ↓ Post By rudymazzocca@yahoo.com

    With news of Winston having reinjured his shoulder on week 7, would you trade evans for Mccoy? PPR my other wr are allen, m.thomas, diggs. Rbs are cj anderson, lynch, smallwood, riddick, foreman.

    Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yeah.

  4. ↓ Post By marman0024

    Would you trade Brandin Cooks away for Jordan Howard in a ppr dynasty league. Howard would be starting over Ameer Abdullah in my line-up. On the flip side, Cooks would be replaced by either Kupp, Wallace or Rishard Matthews based on match ups on a weekly basis. I also have Dede Westbrook and Danny Woodhead returning from IR in the coming weeks.

    1. ↓ Post By marman0024

      Correction, Howard would be replacing either Ameer Abduallah or Duke Johnson, both of whom I currently rotate in out of my line-up.

    2. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yes.

  5. ↓ Post By Bmoneylove

    Gents!

    After listening to the TradeCast I’m looking to boost my WR and get M Thomas. I’m in a 10 team .5 PPR 4-3 record and I have the following…

    RB: Melvin Gordon, Jordan Howard, Doug Martin, Christian McCaffrey, Jonathan Stewart
    WR: Keenan Allen, DeSean Jackson, Tyreek Hill, Corey Davis, Josh Doctson

    The guy I’m looking to get M Thomas from is 2-5 and has…
    RB: Le’Veon Bell, Carlos Hyde, LeGarrette Blount, Frank Gore, Alex Collins
    WR: Michael Thomas, Amari Cooper, Emmanuel Sanders, Robby Anderson

    There is a possibility I could try to get K Benjamin from the guy who owns him. I guess my overall question is who/how much should I be offering up for either Thomas or Benjamin?

    Thanks!

  6. ↓ Post By jjorris13@gmail.com

    need start one. PPR. Doctson, Pryor, or John Ross?

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