PRO VEGAS TOOL: DraftKings Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props – Week 1

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 1 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this second round of the playoffs.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings pricing as a tool in gauging the value of players while setting our DraftKings lineups.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our playoff-only leagues or for DFS use on other sites than DK.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them early. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

15 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By respcd3

    I have Rivers. Would you take Manning, Hoyer, or Bradford over him for week 1 and if so which one. Leaning Hoyer who looks to be the trashiest?

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Might roll Bradford this wk

  2. ↓ Post By nctarheelfan

    Hi Guys,

    I have a WR spot and flex that I need some advice on. I have Jamison Crowder, Fournette, Allen Robinson, Frank Gore, or Stefon Diggs. Thanks!

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Definitely Diggs – wait on Crowder news but we’d go him over ARob if we’re sure he’s active this week

  3. ↓ Post By eyak29

    What is the value category based on with this tool?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Vegas projection over DKs salaries

  4. ↓ Post By wmcgrath

    Current RBs: LeSean McCoy, Marshawn Lynch, Christian McCaffrey, Joe Mixon, Tevin Coleman, Derrick Henry, and Jonathan Williams

    I drafted Jonathan Williams to back up Shady. Should I hold on to Williams or drop him to pickup Deandre Washington to handcuff Beast Mode?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Drop him for Washington

  5. ↓ Post By renourka

    Managing 5 leagues this year and got some tough start/sit decisions to make and really need your help!

    1) PPR – Start 2 of these 3 RB:

    T Coleman @CHI,
    Riddick vs. ARI
    Mixon vs. BAL

    Same league, need 1 WR and 1 FLEX out of:
    Diggs vs. NO
    Jeffery @WAS
    K Allen @DEN
    Mixon vs. BAL
    C Davis vs. OAK

    2) .5 PPR – Need to start 1 WR from:
    Marshall @DAL
    Coleman vs. PIT
    Zay Jones vs. NYJ

    3) Last but not least, my big money PPR keeper league:

    With Evans on BYE now and OBJ’s Sunday night game decision dilemma, my 3 starting WR are:
    K. Allen @DEN
    M Bryant @CLE
    K White vs. ATL

    Right now OBJ is in my FLEX but with his game starting at 8:30pm, I don’t know if I should start Mixon vs. BAL or D Henry vs. OAK (both play at 1pm) in the FLEX instead since I’ll be screwed if OBJ ends up not playing late Sunday night?!

    Or worst case if I wait on OBJ, then maybe I could drop a bench player like Jeremy Hill for maybe Cole Beasly last minute to start on Sunday night?! Not sure if ESPN would allow me to do that tho …

  6. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

    1- We’d roll Tevin Coleman, and prob Joe Mixon because we love him. Riddick is safe play.

    2- Marshall

    3- Bryant all day

  7. ↓ Post By Longhornfireman

    Like others I have the Beckham problem combined with Parker bye.
    Standard league Gordon and Brown are obvious, but need 3 from Fournette, Coleman, Abdullah, Allen and Zay Jones.

    Any thoughts on Beckham if he plays this week?

  8. ↓ Post By Coldbear

    DFS lineup FD
    Marietta
    DJohnson
    Bell
    Marshall
    Z Jones
    R Matthews
    Ertz
    Zuerlein
    Texans
    WR look weak but your Vegas prop sheet

  9. ↓ Post By rw-dxfViX6va

    How do you get back to the vegas tool. The excel sheet says go to the ticker?

  10. ↓ Post By bjmarsh0617@gmail.com

    I’m a new member- where do I find the data relevant for tonight’s games? optimizer only cover sunday slate?
    thanks,
    Texas B

  11. ↓ Post By joebrowngolf@gmail.com

    Just wanted to check to see if you guys post a Vegas projection sheet for all positions each week? Thanks again.

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