Week 7 DFS Cheat Sheets (DraftKings, FanDuel) and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available

Mike Band Heashot 750Week 7 DFS Cheat Sheets: FanDuel and DraftKings
By Mike Band and the RosterWatch staff
Follow Mike Band on Twitter

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

 

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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEET

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

The Vegas Tool will be out before the main slate occurs.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the Cheat Sheets and utilize the HyperDFS tool.

20 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Gman

    With E Sanders injury, B Fowler or
    J Doctson ? .5 PPR

    My WR. Julio, Diggs, Martavis & Doctson.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Very close call. I want to say Doctson, but after being at Broncos camp for 2 yr- we know Siemian loves Fowler. I’d take my chances with him if Sanders sits.

  2. ↓ Post By Vick's Doggy Daycare

    Hey guys,

    I have quite a dilemma this week. I’m in a 12 team league with unique scoring:

    2 PPR
    5 points for every 20 yards combined rushing/receiving, beginning at 50 yards (you get zero points for yardage if you don’t hit at least 50 yds)
    15 points for every TD under 21 yards
    30 points for 21-40 yd TD
    45 points for 41-60 yd TD
    60 points for 61-80 yd TD
    75 points for 81+ yd TD

    Assuming that D. Murray does NOT play this week, which TWO of the following would you play? (note I am going for the homerun as I am down big in this league):

    Mixon @ PIT
    D. Henry @ CLE
    Kamara @ GB
    Coleman @ NE
    Cohen vs CAR

    My initial thought is to go with Kamara and Coleman as they have the speed to get the big points, but would love your insight!

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Jeez, this is cockamamie.

      You need a good floor, ppr potential, and big play upside-

      If Murray sits, you prob have to roll Henry. I’d say I’m prob in on Coleman for the other.

  3. ↓ Post By RockyCrab

    1WR 1 Flex PPR
    D Jax
    Funchess
    Pryor
    Darkwa
    McKinnon
    Dion Lewis
    Sanu

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yikes- prob Pryor +

      McKinnon or Darkwa. Djax and Dion obviously in play if you’re feeling a bit trickier, flat goosey on those tough matchups

  4. ↓ Post By team gooch

    10 team league. someone dropped Derrick Henry. Should I drop DJax to pick him up? That would leave me with only my 2 starting WRs, Julio & AJ Green. Both have had bye weeks so barring injury, I should not need another WR but there are some middle of the road free agent WRs still available if needed. My RBs are Lev Bell, Zeke, Fournette, Martin, Morris, & McFadden. Or should I drop 1 of the Cowboys RB backups?

    1. ↓ Post By Kwillee@hotmail.com

      Do you feel lucky… well do ya?????!!!!! Ladies and gentlemen it is time to gamble! Drop one of the Dallas backups and grab Henry!!! Even if it is not this week I think it is but a matter of time til Murray blows a tire permanently.

    2. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Dude, drop a Cowboys RB. Don’t drop DJAX

  5. ↓ Post By ea4582

    Question for someone from Rosterwatch please

    Dynasty league- 12 team standard scoring. I’m 4-1
    trade question-
    He offered Dez Bryant $49 for Davante Adams $19 and Will fuller $6. I’m basically buying Dez for a year or two to help put me over the top for chance at a SHIP this year.. is it worth it?
    My team
    Qb- Cam/Russell Wilson
    Rb- Hunt/Mixon/Martin/A jones/D Lewis/McGuire
    WRs-Diggs/Benjamin/Adams/Fuller/Emmanuel
    Te- Ertz

    FYI- he also has Michael Thomas for $23 I could try and trade for?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Super close call. I might prefer Thomas. Your WR are good now- so it’s not clear this makes you better every week than if you just made the right matchup plays with this crew every week.

      Dez just makes the decision a bit easier every week. Fuller is a nice dynasty asset. Don’t care about Adams. Close call with Dez. Gun 2 head – I’d prob do it.

      1. ↓ Post By Kwillee@hotmail.com

        See what I was talking about In the email Byron…

  6. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

    Rivers or Dalton?

    1 ppr. Derrick Henry or TY Hilton?

    1 ppr. Derrick Henry or Funchess?

    Thanks gents!!

  7. ↓ Post By eyak29

    That’s a tough spot for your qb. I think I would go dalton. Rivers got lucky in his first game vs Denver and converted to short fields into tds to save his day. Last I heard Murray is a game time decision so you want to keep an eye on that. Henry will get his no matter what but he will be in a much better spot with no Murray. If Murray plays I would go funchess if he sits I got Murray.

  8. ↓ Post By woodsjm

    12 team standard
    Starting WR: Alston Jeffries, Brandin Cooks, and K. Allen
    I’m 2-4 need a win badly. Should I sit Allen for T. Gabriel, M. Sami, or B. Fowler?

    1. ↓ Post By woodsjm

      Sorry autocorrect M. Sanu

    2. ↓ Post By Kwillee@hotmail.com

      Check the injury report in the morning as Allen landed on it yesterday!

  9. ↓ Post By Dgnrshnx

    Lost Arod at QB and now I’m scrambling. “We’re on to Streaming QBs”

    Standard League. 4 points per Passing TD. 1 point per 25 pass yards.
    Start Brissett or Siemian this week?

  10. ↓ Post By Jrs333@sc.rr.com

    14 team Full Point PPR

    Doug Martin or Jimmy Graham at Flex

    Hunley or Taylor at QB

  11. ↓ Post By Jrs333@sc.rr.com

    Rest of Season.
    Full point ppr

    Dez of Fitz?

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